Data for Progress: Biden +10
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Author Topic: Data for Progress: Biden +10  (Read 1569 times)
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
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« on: July 31, 2020, 08:01:01 AM »
« edited: July 31, 2020, 09:10:43 AM by VARepublican »
Biden 52%
Trump 42%

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1dGGzVgmSaesL4N8JeM07YIfMsT_BJ1yflf-29y_ejcQ/edit

Was Biden 50/44.
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Orwell
JacksonHitchcock
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« Reply #1 on: July 31, 2020, 09:08:49 AM »
That's 10% not 9%
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Rand
YaBB God
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« Reply #2 on: July 31, 2020, 11:57:08 AM »
Rigged poll, rigged election.
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
Junior Chimp
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E: 0.10, S: 0.06

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« Reply #3 on: July 31, 2020, 11:58:53 AM »

Very unfair. 
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Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
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« Reply #4 on: July 31, 2020, 11:59:54 AM »
DOMINATING
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Landslide Lyndon
px75
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« Reply #5 on: July 31, 2020, 12:25:51 PM »

Presidential harassment!
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WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
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E: -7.35, S: -0.35

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« Reply #6 on: July 31, 2020, 12:45:21 PM »

Witch Hunt!
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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E: -1.48, S: -1.83

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« Reply #7 on: July 31, 2020, 02:22:00 PM »
good for trump
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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E: -6.84, S: -0.17


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« Reply #8 on: July 31, 2020, 05:01:35 PM »

Bernie says I told you so and Biden is corrupted
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Progressive Pessimist
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E: -6.71, S: -7.65

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« Reply #9 on: July 31, 2020, 06:17:04 PM »

Voter fraud!
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President Johnson
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« Reply #10 on: August 01, 2020, 04:54:16 AM »

Mueller hoax!
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morgieb
Junior Chimp
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E: -7.87, S: -8.70

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« Reply #11 on: August 01, 2020, 05:02:55 AM »
But SirWoodbury told me Trump had stormed into favouritism!
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #12 on: August 01, 2020, 10:18:32 AM »
The banning TikTok anti-bump... 👀
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
Interlocutor
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« Reply #13 on: August 01, 2020, 06:25:11 PM »
« Edited: August 01, 2020, 06:28:36 PM by Monstro »
Add Trumps 7% he'll get from his national voter fraud and it's not looking good for Biden. Biden's gonna have to consistently poll 15-20% margins if he even wants a chance of winning
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Holy Unifying Centrist
DTC
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« Reply #14 on: August 01, 2020, 07:11:20 PM »
Quote from: Monstro on August 01, 2020, 06:25:11 PM
Add Trumps 7% he'll get from his national voter fraud and it's not looking good for Biden. Biden's gonna have to consistently poll 15-20% margins if he even wants a chance of winning

You're forgetting the shy Trump vote, Russian interference, late deciders all going Trump, and bad turnout due to rain in NOVA. If we consider all of these factors, Biden would need to win by 22.75% to have a 50/50 shot of winning
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MR DARK BRANDON
Liam
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E: -0.65, S: -1.57

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« Reply #15 on: August 01, 2020, 07:15:20 PM »
Quote from: DTC on August 01, 2020, 07:11:20 PM
Quote from: Monstro on August 01, 2020, 06:25:11 PM
Add Trumps 7% he'll get from his national voter fraud and it's not looking good for Biden. Biden's gonna have to consistently poll 15-20% margins if he even wants a chance of winning

You're forgetting the shy Trump vote, Russian interference, late deciders all going Trump, and bad turnout due to rain in NOVA. If we consider all of these factors, Biden would need to win by 22.75% to have a 50/50 shot of winning

22.75? He has to win by 35 at least to have a shot at the presidency.
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Obama-Biden Democrat
Zyzz
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« Reply #16 on: August 02, 2020, 01:14:43 AM »

Goya bump!
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #17 on: August 02, 2020, 07:18:10 AM »
No
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Badger
badger
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« Reply #18 on: August 02, 2020, 02:37:46 PM »
Can we please have the election in a week instead of 3 months from now?
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Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
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« Reply #19 on: August 03, 2020, 06:32:20 AM »
Quote from: UBI man good on August 01, 2020, 07:15:20 PM
Quote from: DTC on August 01, 2020, 07:11:20 PM
Quote from: Monstro on August 01, 2020, 06:25:11 PM
Add Trumps 7% he'll get from his national voter fraud and it's not looking good for Biden. Biden's gonna have to consistently poll 15-20% margins if he even wants a chance of winning

You're forgetting the shy Trump vote, Russian interference, late deciders all going Trump, and bad turnout due to rain in NOVA. If we consider all of these factors, Biden would need to win by 22.75% to have a 50/50 shot of winning

22.75? He has to win by 35 at least to have a shot at the presidency.

He's only ahead by 34 in WA. Does that make the state lean Trump or tossup? Oh wait, I forgot about the CHAZ effect, which increases the number of shy Trump voters who are afraid of Antifa listening to their phone calls.

WA is likely Trump.
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