eric82oslo
Junior Chimp
Posts: 5,501
Political Matrix E: -6.00, S: -5.65
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« on: November 13, 2013, 07:44:58 PM » |
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In almost every presidential election, there are states going in the opposite direction of where the wind blows that year. With that I mean that a state can witness a growth in the percentage for the party which retracts on a national level compared to the last election. In 2012 this happened with a good handful of states, which experienced a growth in the Democratic votes relative to the Republican votes. Let's have a longer view looking at several elections back in recent memory and compare them with the 2012 outcome. So I ask again: Which states bucked the trend?
2008-2012: 45 +GOP vs 6 +Dem
National trend: GOP +3.41% States that bucked the trend: (6)
*Alaska - Dem +7.55% *New Jersey - Dem +2.24% *Mississippi - Dem +1.67% *Louisiana - Dem +1.42% *New York - Dem +1.32% *Maryland - Dem +0.64%
2004-2012: 41 +Dem vs 10 +GOP
National trend: Dem +6.32% States that bucked the trend: (10)
*Arkansas - GOP +13.93% *West Virginia - GOP +13.9% *Tennessee - GOP +6.13% *Kentucky - GOP +2.83% *Louisiana - GOP +2.7% *Utah - GOP +2.5% *Oklahoma - GOP +2.4% *Missouri - GOP +2.18% *Massachusetts - GOP +2.02% *Wyoming - GOP +1.03%
2000-2012: 36 Dem+ vs 15 GOP+
National trend: Dem +3.34% States that bucked the trend: (15)
*West Virginia - GOP +20.44% *Arkansas - GOP +18.25% *Tennessee - GOP +16.54% *Oklahoma - GOP +11.66% *Louisiana - GOP +9.53% *Kentucky - GOP +7.56% *Utah - GOP +7.55% *Alabama - GOP +7.27% *Missouri - GOP +6.04% *Massachusetts - GOP +4.16% *Arizona - GOP +2.77% *Rhode Island - GOP +1.62% *Kansas - GOP +0.92% *Wyoming - GOP +0.76% *Connecticut - GOP +0.14%
1996-2012: 37 GOP+ vs 14 Dem+
National trend: GOP +4.66% States that bucked the trend: (14)
*Hawaii - Dem +17.42% *Vermont - Dem +13.34% *California - Dem +10.23% *Maryland - Dem +10.09% *Washington D.C. +7.78% *Colorado - Dem +6.74% *Virginia - Dem +5.83% *Nevada - Dem +5.66% *Oregon - Dem +4.0% *Alaska - Dem +3.54% *Delaware - Dem +3.38% *New Mexico - Dem +2.82% *North Carolina - Dem +2.65% *Washington - Dem +2.33%
I might continue with 1992 and 1988 another day.
Any comments? Any a-ha moments?
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