What would each candidate have been trading on Intrade.... (user search)
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: Dereich)
  What would each candidate have been trading on Intrade.... (search mode)
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Author Topic: What would each candidate have been trading on Intrade....  (Read 679 times)
Nichlemn
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Posts: 1,920
« on: May 13, 2013, 08:09:07 PM »

I'm guessing that given the famously wrong Literary Digest poll, Landon would be doing better than that, more like 30%.

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I think Dewey does better, given how much of a shock Truman winning was, maybe 80%.

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I don't think any polls showed Perot close to striking distance near the end, so I think he's more like 3% and it's still a sucker bet.
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