Not very likely for a few decades to come if that. California has a greater chance of going red before Texas does. The Republican Party has a grip on the state. Democrats are in such bad shape there that they haven't won anything statewide since 1994, face being in the minority in the state legislature, and are below 10 congressional seats in the state. Not only that, but the Republican party there has had a somewhat successful outreach to minorities (Ortiz wouldn't have gone down if Republicans there hadn't gotten enough Hispanics to vote for Farenthold.)
Can't you say the same thing about the condition of California Republicans? They have more congressional seats than Texas Democrats but that's only due to gerrymandering. If Democrats could have gerrymandered California, the number of Republicans left would have been in the single digits. Actually the Republicans could even lose a seat or two after fair redistricting.
The reason why Texas is trending Democratic is due to a growing Latino electorate and increased migration from blue states. And why California won't trend Republican is also due to Latinos as well as Asians. In addition blue collar whites are leaving the state due to a higher cost of living. So I don't know what your pronouncement that California is more likely to vote Republican than Texas is for the Democrats is based on.
I'm saying statewide it is more hospitable to Republicans. We've managed to get a Republican Governor, Secretary of State, and two Insurance Commissioners elected since '94. Texas isn't for Democrats if you go by how the state votes as a whole for elected offices. The Latino community in Texas is also more likely to vote Republican than in California, which means the state should stay safely Republican for a few decades, unless for some reason Hispanics become a Republican voting bloc.
