AL-SEN: Predict final margin (CLOSED: Moore +2.5)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 08, 2024, 11:32:36 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  AL-SEN: Predict final margin (CLOSED: Moore +2.5)		 « previous next »
Pages: 1 2 3 [4]
Poll
Question: What will the margin in AL-SEN be?
#1
Moore +10 or more		  
#2
Moore +9		  
#3
Moore +8		  
#4
Moore +7		  
#5
Moore +6		  
#6
Moore +5		  
#7
Moore +4		  
#8
Moore +3		  
#9
Moore +2		  
#10
Moore +1		  
#11
Jones +1		  
#12
Jones +2		  
#13
Jones +3		  
#14
Jones +4		  
#15
Jones +5		  
#16
Jones +6		  
#17
Jones +7		  
#18
Jones +8		  
#19
Jones +9		  
#20
Jones +10 or more		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 127

Author Topic: AL-SEN: Predict final margin (CLOSED: Moore +2.5)  (Read 8410 times)
Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,134
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #75 on: December 12, 2017, 01:25:21 PM »
Moore +10. Your bar doesn't go high enough...
Logged
Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,090
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #76 on: December 12, 2017, 01:46:47 PM »

Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,016
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #77 on: December 12, 2017, 02:21:27 PM »
Gonna say Jones +3. I have a gut instinct telling me Jones is going to win this.
Logged
Del Tachi
Republican95
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,900
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.52, S: 1.46

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #78 on: December 12, 2017, 02:51:48 PM »
Reversing my prediction from yesterday, I'm going to say Jones +4
Logged
kyc0705
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,757


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #79 on: December 12, 2017, 02:55:07 PM »
« Edited: December 12, 2017, 02:57:17 PM by kyc0705 »
Quote from: First Degree Burns on December 12, 2017, 02:37:17 PM
Quote from: PittsburghSteel on December 12, 2017, 02:21:27 PM
Gonna say Jones +3. I have a gut instinct telling me Jones is going to win this.

gut instinct ≠ accurate prediction

Speaking anecdotally, my "gut instinct" has been, over the past eighteen months, that Brexit would pass, Trump would win, and that the Conservatives would lose seats in the UK snap election. I never made them actual predictions because I thought they were absurd, but in those three upsets, my instinct was right.
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderator
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,781


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #80 on: December 12, 2017, 02:55:24 PM »
Quote from: Del Tachi on December 12, 2017, 02:51:48 PM
Reversing my prediction from yesterday, I'm going to say Jones +4

What caused you to switch?
Logged
President Johnson
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,011
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.70


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #81 on: December 12, 2017, 02:59:11 PM »
Moore: 50%
Jones: 45%

-> Moore + 5
Logged
Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,134
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #82 on: December 12, 2017, 04:03:42 PM »
@Griff.

Yeah, the bar at +10 going up from +9 implies that there's a range for Moore up to about +15 or so.

Logged
Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,090
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #83 on: December 12, 2017, 05:25:45 PM »
Polls are closed!

Final aggregate margin: Moore +2.5
Logged
Kempros
Rookie
**
Posts: 118
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #84 on: December 12, 2017, 10:39:44 PM »
Quote from: Kempros on December 12, 2017, 02:14:03 AM
Fox News poll says J+10, Emerson says M+9, Monmouth says tied. The Pollsters are pulling a Virginia again. Hard to say... Welp, here it goes. My guess is Jones +2.

Republican turnout will probably be depressed from the bombardment of negative media coverage. (Deja Vu) The Dems seem to be a lot more enthusiastic. Turnout is key for both. That's all I'm going to say.
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,230
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #85 on: December 12, 2017, 11:20:10 PM »
Congratulations to the true believers!
Logged
Mike Thick
tedbessell
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,084


Political Matrix
E: -6.65, S: -8.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #86 on: December 12, 2017, 11:26:29 PM »

Welp
Logged
Devout Centrist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,132
United States


Political Matrix
E: -99.99, S: -99.99

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #87 on: December 12, 2017, 11:33:24 PM »
Quote from: Devout Centrist on December 10, 2017, 05:17:40 PM
I already bet on this race, so...

Jones by 1.3%

I will now accept my accolades
Logged
Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
North Carolina Yankee
Moderators
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 54,118
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #88 on: December 12, 2017, 11:36:37 PM »
Logged
Pericles
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,124


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #89 on: December 12, 2017, 11:38:32 PM »

I will now accept my accolades.
Logged
Dr. Arch
Arch
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,453
Puerto Rico


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #90 on: December 12, 2017, 11:43:18 PM »

Wowza
Logged
Kempros
Rookie
**
Posts: 118
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #91 on: December 13, 2017, 01:24:33 AM »
Good Job!
Logged
Interlocutor is just not there yet
Interlocutor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,204


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -5.04

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #92 on: December 13, 2017, 01:41:43 AM »
Quote from: Interlocutor on December 10, 2017, 08:30:52 PM
Moore by 8.5, voted for 9

Moore: 53%
Jones: 44.5%
Write-in: 2.5%

I shall happily accept my box of hats to eat
Logged
Pages: 1 2 3 [4]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.245 seconds with 13 queries.