How will the political landscape be in 2024? (user search)
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  How will the political landscape be in 2024? (search mode)
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Author Topic: How will the political landscape be in 2024?  (Read 43710 times)
Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
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« on: November 14, 2007, 05:49:36 PM »

That's kind of a wide-ranging, unanswerable question.

That's for sure. No one in 1990 would've very accurately predicted what it'd look like today.
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Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
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« Reply #1 on: November 25, 2007, 06:57:59 PM »
« Edited: November 25, 2007, 07:02:58 PM by Warner for Senate '08 »

Based totally on trends and guessing:



Democrats: 211
Republican: 124
Tossup: 203
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Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
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Posts: 30,329
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« Reply #2 on: November 25, 2007, 07:16:46 PM »

Based totally on trends and guessing:



Democrats: 211
Republican: 124
Tossup: 203

How do you change the EV's of the states?

Once you copy and paste the code for the map, just go to each state and alter the numbers for the EV totals.
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Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
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Posts: 30,329
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« Reply #3 on: December 02, 2007, 04:31:23 PM »

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Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
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Posts: 30,329
United States


« Reply #4 on: December 03, 2007, 03:49:53 PM »
« Edited: December 03, 2007, 07:14:07 PM by Warner for Senate '08 »

Since it was pointed out that my last prediction had some faults, I decided to revise the list.


Democrats: 201
Republicans: 126
Tossups: 211
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Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
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Posts: 30,329
United States


« Reply #5 on: December 03, 2007, 07:59:13 PM »

Since it was pointed out that my last prediction had some faults, I decided to revise the list.


Democrats: 201
Republicans: 126
Tossups: 211

1.) Why in the world would FL lose EV?
2.) Why does Arkansas move left?

Florida loses EV for a number of reasons.  First, the weather and hurricane risk stems people from locating to southern Florida.  Also, I expect a large number of Cubans to return to Cuba after Castro dies.  I expect Arkansas to move left because of the Clinton effect, combined with an already strong-Democratic congressional delegation.
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Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,329
United States


« Reply #6 on: December 03, 2007, 09:53:19 PM »

Since it was pointed out that my last prediction had some faults, I decided to revise the list.


Democrats: 201
Republicans: 126
Tossups: 211

1.) Why in the world would FL lose EV?
2.) Why does Arkansas move left?

Florida loses EV for a number of reasons.  First, the weather and hurricane risk stems people from locating to southern Florida.  Also, I expect a large number of Cubans to return to Cuba after Castro dies.  I expect Arkansas to move left because of the Clinton effect, combined with an already strong-Democratic congressional delegation.
And which Clinton would this be almost 20 years from now? 

Chelsea Wink mixed in with residue of 8 more years of Hillary.
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