2020 Poll Hype Thread (user search)
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  2020 Poll Hype Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Poll Hype Thread  (Read 191531 times)
Landslide Lyndon
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« on: May 11, 2020, 01:21:10 PM »
Emerson is good only for a few laughs. I wonder if they will find zero undecideds again.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #1 on: June 07, 2020, 05:07:49 AM »
Kos has announced that Civiqs is polling Iowa and will release the results on Tuesday or Wednesday.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #2 on: June 10, 2020, 12:45:41 PM »
LMAO! I'm sure the hacks at RCP will eagerly include it in their aggregate.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #3 on: June 14, 2020, 12:16:07 PM »
Are we sure that Selzer will release their presidential numbers today?
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #4 on: June 16, 2020, 10:35:19 AM »
Are the guys at PPP still doing this thing where they ask their followers to choose which state to poll next?
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #5 on: June 19, 2020, 10:51:48 AM »
A poster at Daily Kos Elections informs us that new Siena/NYT Upshot battleground state polls are in the field right now.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #6 on: June 20, 2020, 12:36:20 AM »
Quote from: #Bidenworth2020 on June 19, 2020, 01:10:39 PM
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on June 19, 2020, 10:51:48 AM
A poster at Daily Kos Elections informs us that new Siena/NYT Upshot battleground state polls are in the field right now.
Link?

https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2020/6/19/1952803/-Daily-Kos-Elections-Live-Digest-6-19#comment_77684439
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #7 on: June 23, 2020, 01:40:27 PM »
The Daily Kos poster was right.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #8 on: July 07, 2020, 10:40:23 AM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on July 07, 2020, 10:30:01 AM
Quote from: wbrocks67 on July 07, 2020, 10:04:31 AM
Do we know if the USC Dornsife/LA Times tracking poll is coming back? Looks like they started about July 2016 last time

https://cesrusc.org/election/

Emailed them. Got a response:

"We expect to start the tracking poll in late summer or early fall."

Will the Trump black voter be back?
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #9 on: July 09, 2020, 11:45:27 AM »
Quote from: The Other Castro on July 09, 2020, 11:43:42 AM
This is what happens when Election Twitter opens the crowdfund floodgates:



Except that most of us wouldn't take a Gravis poll even if they paid us.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #10 on: July 15, 2020, 02:19:33 AM »
Quote from: Devout Centrist on July 15, 2020, 01:59:48 AM
My prediction for the Monmouth poll:

48-47 in favor of Trump

"Biden Imperiled in Key Swing State as Trump Stages Miraculous Comeback"

Showing Biden ahead by 12 points nationally and losing in Pennsylvania would be ...notable.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #11 on: July 27, 2020, 05:07:12 PM »
One of the posters at DKE mentioned that his dad took part in a Monmouth poll for Iowa.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #12 on: July 28, 2020, 01:18:06 AM »
Quote from: Bidenworth2020 on July 27, 2020, 11:54:37 PM
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on July 27, 2020, 05:07:12 PM
One of the posters at DKE mentioned that his dad took part in a Monmouth poll for Iowa.
Source?

I'm too lazy now to go search it among 400 Daily Digest comments. But he mentioned that the poll will be on the field till Wednesday, so it will probably be released on Friday or the weekend.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #13 on: August 06, 2020, 05:47:07 AM »
LOL!
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #14 on: September 02, 2020, 11:37:41 AM »

It will show something like Biden +8 and everyone will be "OMG, BIDEN COLLAPSING!!!" because their previous poll was +15.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #15 on: September 11, 2020, 03:56:38 PM »
Before anyone gets too excited, a reminder that their last NV polls two years ago were Heller +2 and Laxalt +1.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #16 on: September 23, 2020, 07:10:17 AM »
Um, is it considered OK by pollsters to announce results while a poll is still ongoing?
Doesn't seem very kosher to me.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #17 on: September 25, 2020, 09:46:36 AM »
It's Mason-Dixon, so it's probably close. Their results almost always are Republican-friendly (remember their 2012 debacle). 
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #18 on: September 26, 2020, 09:22:46 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on September 26, 2020, 08:28:21 PM
Quote from: Ferguson97 on September 26, 2020, 08:13:40 PM
Quote from: Gass3268 on September 26, 2020, 07:34:32 PM


So this poll should actually underestimate Biden's support right, since they oversample R's and Trump support?


Don't try to unskew polls by party ID. It's not a sound practice.

OTOH though the only election where Republicans achieved parity with Democrats was 2004.
In every single other, since time immemorial, more self-identified Ds voted than self-identified Rs.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #19 on: October 03, 2020, 07:40:55 PM »
Apparently tomorrow there will be CBS/YouGov polls of PA and OH.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #20 on: October 06, 2020, 10:10:41 AM »
Quote from: Biden +3 in Texas on October 06, 2020, 09:56:33 AM


Go away.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #21 on: October 09, 2020, 04:24:26 PM »
Quote from: skbl17 on October 09, 2020, 04:04:05 PM
New WSB-TV/Landmark polls of GA (presidential, Senate races) coming in about an hour:



Why? Their last one was less than a week ago.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #22 on: October 11, 2020, 03:22:59 AM »
Who is this guy and why should we believe him?
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #23 on: October 11, 2020, 03:59:06 AM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on October 11, 2020, 03:30:51 AM
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on October 11, 2020, 03:22:59 AM
Who is this guy and why should we believe him?

Runs a polling firm out of Miami. Wasserman confirmed that he saw one that supports his statement.

Then he probably talks about a Florida poll. Otherwise how would he know the results from other states and companies.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #24 on: October 12, 2020, 01:28:30 AM »
The only possible shocking results from those polls would be Biden leading in Alaska and/or South Carolina, along with Gross and Harisson.
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