2020 Poll Hype Thread (user search)
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  2020 Poll Hype Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Poll Hype Thread  (Read 190618 times)
kireev
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« on: June 23, 2020, 02:28:09 PM »
My prediction based on the voting history:

MI: Biden +8
PA: Biden +7
WI: Biden +6
FL: Tied
NC: Biden +5
AZ: Trump +1
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kireev
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« Reply #1 on: September 09, 2020, 03:46:28 PM »
And his approval is 42/55 with registered voters. It's pretty much unchanged since August when the horse race was Biden +10. They may switch to likely voters this time though.

Quote from: wbrocks67 on September 09, 2020, 12:11:14 PM
Looks like we're getting Monmouth toplines tomorrow. Trump's approval at 41/53 though, same as their last 2 polls.

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/documents/monmouthpoll_us_090920.pdf/
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kireev
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« Reply #2 on: September 28, 2020, 03:28:54 PM »
« Edited: September 28, 2020, 03:37:22 PM by kireev »
Quote from: Gass3268 on September 28, 2020, 02:22:24 PM
Quote from: Splash on September 28, 2020, 02:14:22 PM


Might be getting a NYT/Siena one too:



Map looks like a decent Biden lead.

I counted the dots in Western PA. It's hard to say exactly because in Pittsburgh they are so blended together, but I think both Trump and Biden are in the 80s there. Maybe a very slight Trump's lead.  That's not a good result for Trump. He won this area by roughly 10 points in 2016.

Also Scranton Joe has a huge lead with just a handful of dots in Scranton Smiley
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kireev
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« Reply #3 on: October 10, 2020, 11:44:43 PM »
Here is my guess. It's going to be a Fox News poll (so WH cannot just discard it) of SC, which will show Trump only +4, but Harrison +2 after the recent debate with Graham.
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kireev
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« Reply #4 on: October 29, 2020, 10:01:29 AM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on October 29, 2020, 09:58:33 AM



If Trump won't lead with this party ID, this party party registration and this 2016 recalled vote, then I will call NC for Biden.
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