State Level Control 2018/2019 (user search)
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  State Level Control 2018/2019 (search mode)
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Author Topic: State Level Control 2018/2019  (Read 2365 times)
KingSweden
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Posts: 11,227
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« on: July 02, 2018, 11:17:36 PM »

Alabama, Arkansas and Alaska: R Trifectas
CA, CO, DE: D Trifectas
FL: D Gov, R Legislature
GA: R Trifecta
HI: D Trifecta
IA: D Gov, R Leg
IL: D Trifecta
ID: R Trifecta
KS: R Trifecta
KY: D Gov, R Leg
NH: R Gov, Split Leg
ME, CT, RI, NY: D Trifecta
MD, MA, VT: R Gov, D Leg
AZ: D Gov, Split Leg
WA, OR: D Trifecta
MT: D Gov, R Leg
Dakota’s: R Trifecta
MN: D Gov, Split Leg
WI: D Gov, Split Leg
MI, OH: D Gov, R Leg
PA: D Hov, Split Leg
NY: D Trifecta
OK, TX: R Trifecta
MS, NC, LA: D Gov, R Leg
AL, IN, TN: R Trifecta
VA: D Trifecta
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KingSweden
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Posts: 11,227
United States


« Reply #1 on: July 03, 2018, 09:02:17 AM »

Alabama, Arkansas and Alaska: R Trifectas
CA, CO, DE: D Trifectas
FL: D Gov, R Legislature
GA: R Trifecta
HI: D Trifecta
IA: D Gov, R Leg
IL: D Trifecta
ID: R Trifecta
KS: R Trifecta
KY: D Gov, R Leg
NH: R Gov, Split Leg
ME, CT, RI, NY: D Trifecta
MD, MA, VT: R Gov, D Leg
AZ: D Gov, Split Leg
WA, OR: D Trifecta
MT: D Gov, R Leg
Dakota’s: R Trifecta
MN: D Gov, Split Leg
WI: D Gov, Split Leg
MI, OH: D Gov, R Leg
PA: D Hov, Split Leg
NY: D Trifecta
OK, TX: R Trifecta
MS, NC, LA: D Gov, R Leg
AL, IN, TN: R Trifecta
VA: D Trifecta


Agree with all except Georgia.  I think there are grounds for optimism that Stacey Abrams can become the first black female governor of a Deep South state, and maybe even a future 2024 presidential contender if she wins re-election (and if we don't win back the White House in 2020).  

I agree there’s a good chance, but with the inelastic lean of the state and the 50+1 for now I’m not going to predict an eventual victory for an otherwise very impressive candidate
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KingSweden
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Posts: 11,227
United States


« Reply #2 on: July 03, 2018, 05:36:00 PM »


This is my prediction for state level control after 2018/2019


The key is as follows:
Solid- The total control of a state by 1 party, governorship and both chambers
Likely-The control of the governorship and one chamber
Lean-The control of the governorship but no chambers

Bullish without being hackish. I will say I’m still skeptical on GA, though.
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