Republican Ides of March Tuesday results thread (N. Marianas start at 4:30am ET)

[win win]

I still think Trump will win every state except Ohio

[win win]

More exit info:

Most OHIO in Republican party is working class whites. Did Fox say how many people were polled?

[win win]

If Kasich wins, his odds go up to maybe 5% for Republican nomination. If he loses he is out.

[win win]

marco rubio  BTFO

TRUMP 62
RUBIO 18

(1% OUT)

[win win]

kasich is ahead again

[win win]

is this a good result for Trump tonight?

WIN FL IL NC
LOSE OH
TIE IN MO

[win win]

how many delegates does Trump get if he loses to Ted by 4 points in MO?

[win win]

donald trump commanding 22 point lead in Chicago's cook county

good job protestors

[win win]

Mark it down, Cruz will win North Carolina by 2-3 points.

He won't . He is winning big in Wake county (but already 63% in).

[win win]

Mark it down, Cruz will win North Carolina by 2-3 points.

I don't see how he can

He is dominating in Wake by 10% which has over 50% of the precients in that have been counted, they are counting extremely quickly compared to the rest of the state.  If the rest of the count from today breaks for Cruz anything like this he will win the state. We need more results from Mecklenburg before we will know who is going to win.

http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/nc/
TRUMP dominating everywhere except Wake. But Wake is a huge county (63% counted)
TRUMP is ahead by 27000 statewide. but looks like Cruz can only get about 6000 more from Wake.

Trump has it in the bags.

[win win]

kasich wins Ohio
will the media now predict the death of Trump for the 8th time?

come on, winning your home state against Donald Trump is now something worth celebrating

[win win]

Kasich victory in OH is good news for Trump. Cruz would probably beat him in most states in a two-man race. Now, Trump can keep winning states with 35 to 45% of the vote.

Given how Trump dominated in Illinois and Massachusetts, I find it hard to believe Cruz can match him in the Northeast.

[win win]

after tonight , certainly looks like it will end up being Clinton vs Trump

[win win]

For the last 3 month, all Kasich has talked about was winning Ohio. What's he going to talk about after today?

[win win]

Kasich is leading with all three delegates in CD 7 with 46% in (Chicago Loop dominates the GOP vote here).

Kasich is leading one delegate in CD 9 with 47% in and has another delegate in fourth a close race for third place (north and northwest Cook suburbs primarily).

Trump may end up sweeping in IL despite the congressional district rules.


Wonder how strongly Cruz runs downstate...that may detract a bit from The Don.

How does Trump take all of IL's delegates?

[win win]

NC - ALL OF Cruz's counties there are over 90% reported already.

[win win]

Cruz is closing nicely in MO.

Make no mistake, should Trump lose more than 1 CD in IL or lose MO, we are on the path to a brokered convention.

I'm not so sure.  Trump is going to WTA/WTM the heck out of the remaining NE states and probably AZ and CA as well, particularly if Kasich fades away.

Trump will play very will in WV, PA, and NY.

However, he will struggle in MD/DE/NJ/CT/RI. Kasich is likely to do very well in those states and even if he doesnt win outright, the delegate split will really hurt Trump and the WTA states are fairly evenly distributed amongst Trump's strengths/weaknesses.

I guarantee you, Trump will not struggle in NJ.

[win win]

cruz will lose once St Louis comes in.

[win win]

From fivethirtyeight:

Mathematically, Trump On Pace To Erase Ohio Loss
Guess what? Trump could make up for all 66 delegates he lost in Ohio with huge delegate margins in Illinois and Missouri. In Missouri, Trump is clinging to a lead of just 2,400 votes, but IF things continue as they are, Trump will capture 47 of Missouri’s delegates to just five for Cruz. And in Illinois, where Trump is winning about 40 percent of the vote, he could win all but a handful of congressional districts, giving him perhaps 60 of the state’s 69 delegates. Wow.

[win win]

DAVID WASSERMAN 11:20 PM
Here’s my gut takeaway from tonight’s primaries: It’s more difficult to see how Trump DOESN’T get to 1,237 delegates from here. He’s beating Cruz in red states, and he’s likely to beat Kasich in future blue states. Most of the delegates at stake from here on out will come from winner-take-all states. Whether #NeverTrump forces realize it or not, they are losing.