Republican Ides of March Tuesday results thread (N. Marianas start at 4:30am ET)
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Author Topic: Republican Ides of March Tuesday results thread (N. Marianas start at 4:30am ET)  (Read 58490 times)
#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #550 on: March 15, 2016, 07:58:43 PM »
Pro-Cruz county of madison, nc just flipped to TRUMP
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muon2
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« Reply #551 on: March 15, 2016, 07:58:54 PM »
Kasich may pick up a few delegates from suburban Chicago. He's got delegates with better name recognition, and that has mattered in past years.
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win win
dxu8888
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« Reply #552 on: March 15, 2016, 07:59:32 PM »
Quote from: Niemeyerite on March 15, 2016, 07:57:41 PM
Kasich victory in OH is good news for Trump. Cruz would probably beat him in most states in a two-man race. Now, Trump can keep winning states with 35 to 45% of the vote.

Given how Trump dominated in Illinois and Massachusetts, I find it hard to believe Cruz can match him in the Northeast.
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Seriously?
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« Reply #553 on: March 15, 2016, 08:00:26 PM »
Quote from: muon2 on March 15, 2016, 07:58:54 PM
Kasich may pick up a few delegates from suburban Chicago. He's got delegates with better name recognition, and that has mattered in past years.
10 is a possibility, but there is a Crook County portion of that district.
14 as well, but the western counties look pro Trump.
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Why
Unbiased
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« Reply #554 on: March 15, 2016, 08:01:09 PM »
Quote from: Seriously? on March 15, 2016, 07:58:35 PM
Quote from: vern1988 on March 15, 2016, 07:36:02 PM
Mark it down, Cruz will win North Carolina by 2-3 points.
Not a chance. Look where the vote is out as compared to where it is in. Wake County - in. Charlotte - out. Trump extends this to the 8-10 point range before all is said and done -- in line with PPP.

Assuming the result in Charlotte stays the same as it is you are right. Not sure how much of what is in is early voting which favoured Trump largely and how much is from the 4 of 195 precincts that have reported so far.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #555 on: March 15, 2016, 08:02:04 PM »
I just realized, RIP to 538's "party decides" endorsement tracker.
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Vern
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« Reply #556 on: March 15, 2016, 08:03:55 PM »
Quote from: #TheShadowyAbyss on March 15, 2016, 07:58:43 PM
Pro-Cruz county of madison, nc just flipped to TRUMP

Madison is far from pro-cruz. Do you know anything about NC?
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Bigby
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« Reply #557 on: March 15, 2016, 08:04:12 PM »
Quote from: Thinking Crumpets Crumpet on March 15, 2016, 08:02:04 PM
I just realized, RIP to 538's "party decides" endorsement tracker.

The Establishment is so different from the actual voters that I think Trump's numbers would be higher had no one endorsed him at all.
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emailking
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« Reply #558 on: March 15, 2016, 08:04:42 PM »
Quote from: Thinking Crumpets Crumpet on March 15, 2016, 08:02:04 PM
I just realized, RIP to 538's "party decides" endorsement tracker.

I think the idea behind it was sound, but obviously it didn't work well this year, granted in its inaugural year. So he'll have to modify it for future election years.
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Seriously?
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« Reply #559 on: March 15, 2016, 08:07:05 PM »
Anyone see any maps by CD for IL or MO?
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« Reply #560 on: March 15, 2016, 08:10:43 PM »
Trumps lead in Mecklenburg/Charlotte is falling slightly with new results but it probably is not going to be enough for Cruz
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PeteB
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« Reply #561 on: March 15, 2016, 08:10:52 PM »
With 17% of votes in IL:

Trump 41%
Kasich 23.8%
Cruz 22.7%
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The Free North
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« Reply #562 on: March 15, 2016, 08:11:11 PM »
https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/709909336756084736
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Joe Biden 2020
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« Reply #563 on: March 15, 2016, 08:11:39 PM »
Why is Missouri so slow?
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GLPman
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« Reply #564 on: March 15, 2016, 08:13:48 PM »
What's the chance that Cruz wins NC? I ask because I do not know enough about NC politics and political geography to ascertain whether he can pull off an upset.
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dxu8888
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« Reply #565 on: March 15, 2016, 08:13:53 PM »
after tonight , certainly looks like it will end up being Clinton vs Trump
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Vern
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« Reply #566 on: March 15, 2016, 08:14:14 PM »
Quote from: Unbiased on March 15, 2016, 08:10:43 PM
Trumps lead in Mecklenburg/Charlotte is falling slightly with new results but it probably is not going to be enough for Cruz

Kasich is doing real well in Mecklenburg with voters who voted today.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #567 on: March 15, 2016, 08:14:22 PM »
I'm asking the same question about Illinois, at least on the GOP side.
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The Free North
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« Reply #568 on: March 15, 2016, 08:14:31 PM »
Quote from: GLPman on March 15, 2016, 08:13:48 PM
What's the chance that Cruz wins NC? I ask because I do not know enough about NC politics and political geography to ascertain whether he can pull off an upset.

Slim I would guess, but not impossible given Trump's poor showing on E-day.

Overall the delegates will probably be pretty evenly split.
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Vern
vern1988
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« Reply #569 on: March 15, 2016, 08:15:07 PM »
Quote from: GLPman on March 15, 2016, 08:13:48 PM
What's the chance that Cruz wins NC? I ask because I do not know enough about NC politics and political geography to ascertain whether he can pull off an upset.

It will be close.
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cinyc
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« Reply #570 on: March 15, 2016, 08:15:59 PM »
Quote from: Seriously? on March 15, 2016, 08:07:05 PM
Anyone see any maps by CD for IL or MO?

Not a map, but:
http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2016/by_state/IL_Delegates_0315.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS
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muon2
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« Reply #571 on: March 15, 2016, 08:16:46 PM »
Kasich is leading with all three delegates in CD 7 with 46% in (Chicago Loop dominates the GOP vote here).

Kasich is leading one delegate in CD 9 with 47% in and has another delegate in fourth a close race for third place (north and northwest Cook suburbs primarily).
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #572 on: March 15, 2016, 08:17:02 PM »
Aptly named Christian county, MO going for Cruz overwhelmingly
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Vern
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« Reply #573 on: March 15, 2016, 08:17:14 PM »
Donald J. Trump   REP   265,055   40.46%
Ted Cruz   REP   239,268   36.53%
John R. Kasich   REP   79,296   12.11%
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The Free North
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« Reply #574 on: March 15, 2016, 08:19:08 PM »
Trump supporter crashing the Kasich speech?

Like they did with Rubio?

What a joke.
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