Republican Ides of March Tuesday results thread (N. Marianas start at 4:30am ET)
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Author Topic: Republican Ides of March Tuesday results thread (N. Marianas start at 4:30am ET)  (Read 58471 times)
ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #175 on: March 15, 2016, 05:41:35 PM »
How is 'working class' defined, and how much of the electorate is it?
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IceSpear
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« Reply #176 on: March 15, 2016, 05:42:10 PM »
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on March 15, 2016, 05:41:35 PM
How is 'working class' defined, and how much of the electorate is it?

Yeah, without a definition the stat is totally worthless.
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win win
dxu8888
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« Reply #177 on: March 15, 2016, 05:42:37 PM »

Most OHIO in Republican party is working class whites. Did Fox say how many people were polled?
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #178 on: March 15, 2016, 05:44:11 PM »
Tonight could make it or break it for both Rubio and Kasich.  Beware the Ides of March!
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #179 on: March 15, 2016, 05:45:07 PM »

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dxu8888
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« Reply #180 on: March 15, 2016, 05:45:11 PM »
If Kasich wins, his odds go up to maybe 5% for Republican nomination. If he loses he is out.
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Broken System
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« Reply #181 on: March 15, 2016, 05:45:26 PM »
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on March 15, 2016, 05:41:35 PM
How is 'working class' defined, and how much of the electorate is it?

I believe that it actually means no college education, based off of one article I am reading on previous states' exit polls who have used this wording.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #182 on: March 15, 2016, 05:46:02 PM »

Very bad night for Rubio then
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IceSpear
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« Reply #183 on: March 15, 2016, 05:46:21 PM »

This is gonna be a slaughter.
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Matty
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« Reply #184 on: March 15, 2016, 05:46:23 PM »
Quote from: Broken System on March 15, 2016, 05:45:26 PM
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on March 15, 2016, 05:41:35 PM
How is 'working class' defined, and how much of the electorate is it?

I believe that it actually means no college education, based off of one article I am reading on previous states' exit polls who have used this wording.

trump only winning by 12 among those with no degree seems fairly low.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #185 on: March 15, 2016, 05:48:25 PM »
So will we be getting exit poll toplines for Florida at 7 or 8?
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IceSpear
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« Reply #186 on: March 15, 2016, 05:48:34 PM »
Quote from: Kalwejt on March 15, 2016, 05:47:48 PM
That doesn't matter. He won drop out and he will be the nominee after coming third in remaining key states.

Somewhere in Minnesota, Walter Mondale is wishing he declared victory.
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Why
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« Reply #187 on: March 15, 2016, 05:48:38 PM »
Trump could break 50% in Florida.
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Matty
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« Reply #188 on: March 15, 2016, 05:49:14 PM »
lmao trump won late deciders in florida
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #189 on: March 15, 2016, 05:49:39 PM »
Quote from: Runeghost on March 15, 2016, 05:38:53 PM
Quote from: #TheShadowyAbyss on March 15, 2016, 05:26:23 PM
I still think Trump will win every state except Ohio

Cruz has outperformed his polls in every state since Super Tuesday, while Donald has underperformed everywhere except Mississippi. (which Rubio in turn, had underperformed). I won't be surprised if the only thing Donald wins is Florida.
Don't most of the polls have Trump winning by double digits in Illinois?
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Maxwell
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« Reply #190 on: March 15, 2016, 05:51:33 PM »
Quote from: marty on March 15, 2016, 05:49:14 PM
lmao trump won late deciders in florida

Rip Rubs.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #191 on: March 15, 2016, 05:53:31 PM »

Rest my Prince
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Matty
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« Reply #192 on: March 15, 2016, 05:53:45 PM »
ohio exit

kasich 45
trump 38
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Fargobison
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« Reply #193 on: March 15, 2016, 05:53:50 PM »
Quote from: Oldiesfreak1854 on March 15, 2016, 05:49:39 PM
Quote from: Runeghost on March 15, 2016, 05:38:53 PM
Quote from: #TheShadowyAbyss on March 15, 2016, 05:26:23 PM
I still think Trump will win every state except Ohio

Cruz has outperformed his polls in every state since Super Tuesday, while Donald has underperformed everywhere except Mississippi. (which Rubio in turn, had underperformed). I won't be surprised if the only thing Donald wins is Florida.
Don't most of the polls have Trump winning by double digits in Illinois?

NBC/WSJ had it Trump +9 CBS/YouGov had it Trump +4
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Stranger in a strange land
strangeland
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« Reply #194 on: March 15, 2016, 05:57:05 PM »
I was hoping Rubio would pull it out (tee hee) but I knew it was a long-shot and now it looks like he definitely won't.
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cinyc
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« Reply #195 on: March 15, 2016, 05:57:12 PM »
Quote from: Castro on March 15, 2016, 05:48:25 PM
So will we be getting exit poll toplines for Florida at 7 or 8?

8.  The networks won't release the toplines of an exit poll before all the polls have closed.  That's what they did in Michigan.

We'll get a good portion of the actual Florida vote in by 8, though.
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Vosem
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« Reply #196 on: March 15, 2016, 05:57:49 PM »

Where are you seeing this?
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #197 on: March 15, 2016, 05:57:50 PM »
At the first round of exits the favorites at the PredictIt market all increased their odds. So now Trump is even more favored to win FL, NC and IL. Kasich more favored in OH and Cruz is now 60/40 fave in MO.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #198 on: March 15, 2016, 05:58:20 PM »

His twin brother that works for CBS.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #199 on: March 15, 2016, 05:59:24 PM »
1,346 people voted in my precinct!
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