What are the odds that Maine and Nebraska both split electoral votes this year? (user search)
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  What are the odds that Maine and Nebraska both split electoral votes this year? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: What are the odds that Clinton wins NE-02 and Trump wins ME-02?
#1
0-24.9%
 
#2
25-49.9%
 
#3
50-74.9%
 
#4
75-100%
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 53

Author Topic: What are the odds that Maine and Nebraska both split electoral votes this year?  (Read 835 times)
Heisenberg
SecureAmerica
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,112
United States


« on: August 29, 2016, 10:24:20 PM »

I think 99% of the people who go on about NE-02 have no idea that it was redistricted in 2011. It was R+6 in 2008 and R+11 in 2012.
Wait. That sounds more like NE-01. Isn't NE-02 only R+4 on Cook?
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Heisenberg
SecureAmerica
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,112
United States


« Reply #1 on: August 30, 2016, 11:15:25 AM »

I think 99% of the people who go on about NE-02 have no idea that it was redistricted in 2011. It was R+6 in 2008 and R+11 in 2012.
Wait. That sounds more like NE-01. Isn't NE-02 only R+4 on Cook?

The way he's doing it is effectively doubling Cook PVIs.  R+4 to Cook means 54-46 in a 50-50 election, or an eight point win.
I see. Thanks for the explanation.
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