CA-GOV: Newsom vs. ???

[DrScholl]

Newsom would probably lose some random counties against Chiang or Eastin, but not many. Against Villaraigosa he probably loses Los Angeles, Imperial and maybe some counties in the Central Valley due to the high Hispanic population.

[DrScholl]

Newsom would probably lose some random counties against Chiang or Eastin, but not many. Against Villaraigosa he probably loses Los Angeles, Imperial and maybe some counties in the Central Valley due to the high Hispanic population.

Newsom probably loses Mendocino, Humboldt, and Trinity to Eastin. Which counties would Chiang win, Orange, Los Angeles, San Diego?

Chiang wouldn't carry any large counties.

[DrScholl]

I think there is a real chance of one of the Republicans making the runoff (obviously with no chance), which would be important for turnout for downballot races.  I just wish there weren't two major Republicans- instead just one.

The business interests don't seem to think that is likely and are going in for Villaraigosa to give a "hold your nose" option for Republicans.

Would Delaine Eastin win anything other than Mendocino, Trinity, Humboldt, and maybe Santa Cruz?

Probably all of those, except Santa Cruz. I could see her carrying Siskiyou as well and maybe a random Gold Rush county.

[DrScholl]

It will probably be another D vs. D race, as will the Senate race.  Hope it increases demand for California to get rid of their unfair, undemocratic, and unconstitutional primary system.

Where is the unconstitutionality? The constitution says nothing about a primary system and there is nothing in there that would guarantees anything to political parties.

[DrScholl]

The 2002 map was a compromise map that protected seats on both sides of the aisle. Considering that the redistricting commission was approved by voters it would have to be decommissioned by voters and it's beyond unlikely that voters would do that.