As I noted before, the sole reason the model had Trump up in NC, FL and NV was the "trend line adjustment" which was pushing every state a bit more than 2 points in Trump's direction. Today that has been cut in half and that flips those three states back to Clinton. Now 538 aligns with all other models in terms of state wins, but still is more bullish on Trump in terms of margins and odds .
Was it purely data that changed the trend line in the last few hours?
The trend line will become neglible as the election nears. And there was seemingly an adjustment up for Trump.
As for the other comments, Nate is not going anywhere.
His website is top of Google. Well presented and easy to understand.
He is making a fortune out of website advertising alone.
