Georgia's Very Own Megathread!

[Del Tachi]

Any thoughts on the GOP runoff?

Kemp will win.  Cagle winning less than 40% of the vote as a 12-year incumbent LG is pretty laughable.

[Buzz]

Any thoughts on the GOP runoff?

Think it will be close for sure

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/WinWithJMC/status/999119482525245446

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

https://twitter.com/WinWithJMC/status/999119482525245446

The gap between D vs R will narrow. Pretty much all of the R counties are fully turned in, while a ton of very D counties still have a lot reporting (most notably De Kalb).

[Alabama_Indy10]

Any thoughts on the GOP runoff?

Kemp will win.  Cagle winning less than 40% of the vote as a 12-year incumbent LG is pretty laughable.

Will it be a contest to see who can make the biggest a$$ out of themselves like the primary?

[Inmate Trump]

Yeah Evans’ campaign was awful. But Abrams’ strategy seems to basically be to ignore white voters and try and max out minority voters. Which is mathematically impossible. We would’ve been so much better off with Jason Carter.

I’m white and voted for Abrams. Every Abrams voter I know (several) is white. We’re not in Democratic areas either.

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/WinWithJMC/status/999119482525245446

The gap between D vs R will narrow. Pretty much all of the R counties are fully turned in, while a ton of very D counties still have a lot reporting (most notably De Kalb).

Yup

https://twitter.com/WinWithJMC/status/999122783073439744

[Suburbia]

Which Stacey won Cobb County, Ga., the suburban GOP stronghold of Georgia?

Stacey Evans or Stacey Abrams?

[Suburbia]

Which Democrat won white voters tonight and why?


Who are the black voters that voted for Stacey Evans for governor?

[Gass3268]

Which Stacey won Cobb County, Ga., the suburban GOP stronghold of Georgia?

Stacey Evans or Stacey Abrams?

You mean the GOP stronghold that Hillary Clinton won?

[Suburbia]

Which Stacey won Cobb County, Ga., the suburban GOP stronghold of Georgia?

Stacey Evans or Stacey Abrams?

You mean the GOP stronghold that Hillary Clinton won?

Yes?

[Gass3268]

Which Stacey won Cobb County, Ga., the suburban GOP stronghold of Georgia?

Stacey Evans or Stacey Abrams?

You mean the GOP stronghold that Hillary Clinton won?

Yes?

Abrams is winning with almost 73% of the vote.

[ON Progressive]

Which Stacey won Cobb County, Ga., the suburban GOP stronghold of Georgia?

Stacey Evans or Stacey Abrams?

Abrams won Cobb by a 74-26 margin

Which Democrat won white voters tonight and why?

Abrams almost certainly did. She won a lot of very white counties like Union, Fannin, Brantley, and Pierce.

[Bacon King]

Yeah Evans’ campaign was awful. But Abrams’ strategy seems to basically be to ignore white voters and try and max out minority voters. Which is mathematically impossible. We would’ve been so much better off with Jason Carter.

Exactly.  She can't go with this strategy into the general.  To have any chance, she will have to do what Obama did.  That is, she will have to appeal somehow to the white vote in the suburbs/exurbs/rural areas and to reduce the massive margins that Cagle/Kemp will have.  Otherwise, we are looking at numbers of the Denise Majette 2004 senatorial or Mark Taylor 2006 gubernatorial races.

this is entirely anecdotal evidence but here in northeast ATL suburbia Stacey Abrams seems to be doing something right.

I've seen her signs on McMansion lawns in rich white people neighborhoods more than a few times over the last few months. Glancing on facebook, several of my friends who like her facebook page are conservatives. My own father is a lifelong Republican/Libertarian voter, and the first time he saw an Abrams ad on tv he called me and asked, "hey Justin, what do you know about Stacey Abrams?" I never thought anything more of it until this morning when he texted me while he was in line to vote, saying that he hoped Abrams won the Democratic nomination, because she was who he wanted to vote for if his favorite candidate (Clay Tippins) didn't win the GOP nomination

so again this is all anecdotal but don't write off Abrams just yet

[Pollster]

The GOP runoff really is going to be a blessing to Abrams, she'll have plenty of time to aggressively define herself positively and raise money from the national support that is gathering around her, while her two potential rivals rip each other to shreds for two months and drive up their unfavorables.

All of this combined with the environment favoring Democrats definitely makes a historic Abrams win look very possible.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

I disliked the idea of Abrams being nominated just hours ago, but I'm already changing my mind.
Let's roll! On to November!

[Bacon King]

relaying this news from Adam Griffin:

primary vote split is now merely 54% R, 46% D
11% of the votes are still uncounted, almost entirely from DeKalb/Fulton

[Gass3268]

relaying this news from Adam Griffin:

primary vote split is now merely 54% R, 46% D
11% of the votes are still uncounted, almost entirely from DeKalb/Fulton

But Harry Enten, Amy Walter and Limo Liar said that they can see no signs of Democratic enthusiasm in Georgia.

[Hammy]

Yeah Evans’ campaign was awful. But Abrams’ strategy seems to basically be to ignore white voters and try and max out minority voters. Which is mathematically impossible. We would’ve been so much better off with Jason Carter.

Sure, if your goal is handing the GOP an easy win.

[Suburbia]

Which Stacey won affluent Gwinnett?

[Oryxslayer]

Which Stacey won affluent Gwinnett?

The one that won 90% of the state. Bonus data point - Abrams got the most votes there of any candidate.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Looks like the primary D vs R vote will be better than Hillary's performance in 2016 (the remaining precincts are in 75-25 dem areas). Dems won't be leading, though.

[Gass3268]

Which Stacey won affluent Gwinnett?

The one that won 90% of the state. Bonus data point - Abrams got the most votes there of any candidate.

Bonus data point - It looks like there could be more Democratic voters here today.

[Rookie Yinzer]

White voters  love Abrams. She is not ignoring them. She is simply acknowledging that the black base is the heart and soul of the party.

That we are still pretending that she is unpalatable to white voters after her decisive victory in North Georgia and the North Atlanta suburbs is hilarious.

Evans had NO GROUND GAME. And spent the last few weeks of her campaign blanketing the airwaves with mistruths and slamming Abrams in her stump speeches. Just LOL at the notion continuing that Evans would be a better GE candidate. She would have motivated no one and done nothing to GOTV.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Why does Dekalb take forever to count?

Also lmao at Abrams landsliding even among white voters.