Georgia's Very Own Megathread!

[Adam Griffin]

Georgia Megathread Election Chat, beginning @ 7:00 PM!

[Yelnoc]

Does anyone know what time Jason will speak tonight? His speech writer just called to ask if he could mention my story in his remarks.

[Adam Griffin]

Does anyone know what time Jason will speak tonight? His speech writer just called to ask if he could mention my story in his remarks.

Probably after 10, I'd say, if results are as tight as we'd expect.

[Bacon King]

Turnout update: I'm currently outside Gwinnett's Duncan Creek precinct, waiting for my girlfriend to vote inside. This precinct covers the large and expansive Hamilton Mill suburban community. It's very busy, probably forty cars in the parking lot right now. Someone new is entering the voter line literally every ten seconds. Almost all of them obviously GOP voters. I really hope ATL is matching this turnout

[Yelnoc]

Turnout update: I'm currently outside Gwinnett's Duncan Creek precinct, waiting for my girlfriend to vote inside. This precinct covers the large and expansive Hamilton Mill suburban community. It's very busy, probably forty cars in the parking lot right now. Someone new is entering the voter line literally every ten seconds. Almost all of them obviously GOP voters. I really hope ATL is matching this turnout

Is the number of voters so far posted outside? When I voted at Hebron thy had it taped to the door and were updating every hour. There were over 500 voters in my precinct as of 2:00.

I can tell you that Athens has been killing it. All the projects are voting.

[Barnes]

Georgia Megathread Election Chat, beginning @ 7:00 PM!

Come along and join us!

[Barnes]

A very disappointing night overall, obviously.  I'm sure we'll be dissecting returns in the coming days, but I don't think any of us have an interest in doing so now.  I will say, the Democratic Party of Georgia ran stellar races in this state, and gave hope to us - albeit it unfulfilled for now.

[Adam Griffin]

Performance increase/"half-swing" map for Georgia Gubernatorial race (D is blue; R is red):



Proud to say that there's a silver-lining for me in all of this. I organized Whitfield County via the party and the coordinated campaigns, and it was the second-strongest swinger in the state (D +5.63), only behind Rockdale (D +5.65). Clarke was third (D +5.37).

[Adam Griffin]

And here's the 2010-2014 Senatorial performance increase/"half-swing" map (R is Republican, D is Democrat).

[Bacon King]

There's a new GOP state senator named John F Kennedy

[Barnes]

There's a new GOP state senator named John F Kennedy

Really? Hah!

The success in flipping Henry County is remarkable seeing as it voted for Romney in 2012 (51-47).

[Adam Griffin]

[IceSpear]

Georgians: Turnout dropped from 2010 to 2014. Simply put: how the christ

[Bacon King]

Nunn and Carter both basically got what the polls were saying they would get, guys, we just forgot Rule #1 of Georgia Elections: undecideds all vote Republican

[KCDem]

Are there any uncounted votes? Could the margin shrink even a little more?

[Bacon King]

Are there any uncounted votes? Could the margin shrink even a little more?

GA has no paper trail so any uncounted election night votes have probably already been deleted

[Adam Griffin]

Georgians: Turnout dropped from 2010 to 2014. Simply put: how the christ

Speaking of which, here's a map that shows where nominal turnout increased/decreased, and by how much

[Adam Griffin]

Georgians: Turnout dropped from 2010 to 2014. Simply put: how the christ

Speaking of which, here's a map that shows where nominal turnout increased/decreased, and by how much

And one that shows 2014 turnout (%) by county

[KCDem]

Georgians: Turnout dropped from 2010 to 2014. Simply put: how the christ

Speaking of which, here's a map that shows where nominal turnout increased/decreased, and by how much

Grimes ignored the south of the state. JUNK CAMPAIGN!

[Adam Griffin]

Georgians: Turnout dropped from 2010 to 2014. Simply put: how the christ

Speaking of which, here's a map that shows where nominal turnout increased/decreased, and by how much

Grimes ignored the south of the state. JUNK CAMPAIGN!

Well, I would hope that Grimes ignored most of Georgia.

In all fairness, this is a count/comparison in nominal terms; South Georgia is shrinking in population, so it's to be expected that there would be drop-offs to an extent in this metric. It was also observed in early voting. However, I am also working right now on a turnout by percentage of RVs for 2010 and 2014 to compare how much turnout dropped by in that regard, which will be a better metric.

One interesting thing I noticed thus far is that in the second map, SW Georgia doesn't look nearly as bad (2014 % of RV who voted) as it does in the map that shows nominal increase/decrease in turnout.

[Adam Griffin]

And voila: a map showing the percentage-point change in turnout among RVs between 2010 and 2014. Sorry about the formatting of the numbers (click on each county for details); Google doesn't like actual percentages.

So if you click on a county and see:

10 RV TRN: 0.4814
14 RV TRN: 0.4683
% CHG, 10-14: -0.0132

That means that 2010 turnout was 48.14%, 2014 was 46.83%, and that there was a percentage point drop of 1.32.

[RogueBeaver]

Isakson will formally announce he's running next week.

[Barnes]

Isakson will formally announce he's running next week.

I kind of thought he might retire, but this isn't particularly surprising.

[Adam Griffin]

Isakson will formally announce he's running next week.

I kind of thought he might retire, but this isn't particularly surprising.

Good luck running an active campaign with all that COPD and cancer in his lungs

RIP

[Adam Griffin]

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