Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1

[libertpaulian]

*One week ago*

 Karen Handel: Whew, that was a close election I squeaked out against Ossof last year. But I'm finally getting into the groove of this whole "Representative" thing. I've just put down a lease on a place here in DC for me and my family to live, I'm making friends and connections and I've found this nice little coffee shop. DC is starting to feel like home! I sure hope nothing happens that forces me to move back to Atlanta - I just forwarded all my subscriptions here!

Please tell me this is fake.

[Gustaf]

Is there anywhere that is updating the vote Counts in the outstanding races?

[Donnie]

Scott currently with 1 vote lead in Monroe Co. FL

R. Scott      18 021 votes
B. Nelson   18 020 votes

[MillennialModerate]

Arizona looking to be out of reach.

Florida obviously shouldn’t even be a discussion.

How many total house seats we looking at? 229?

[Tintrlvr]

Why toss-up in NJ-03?

Otherwise I agree. But what about GA-07?

I think they already called that.

None of NYT, CNN or Politico has GA-07 called.

[Ben.]

Apparently the GOP has filed a lawsuit in AZ?

McSally has actually gained a bit.  It went from a 0.9 to 1.0 for McSally, with Maricopa reporting.

Totally relevant with the question asked above.

Pretty sure those votes were the final tallies from the rural counties and not Maricopa.

Reckon AZ comes down to whether the outstanding ballots trend in line with the votes already counted in those counties or towards one of the candidates.

[SPQR]

Scott currently with 1 vote lead in Monroe Co. FL

R. Scott      18 021 votes
B. Nelson   18 020 votes

That was true also on election night.

Anyway 538 also rates NY-27 as Likely R.

[Zaybay]

Why toss-up in NJ-03?

Otherwise I agree. But what about GA-07?

I think they already called that.

None of NYT, CNN or Politico has GA-07 called.

FiveThirtyEight called it already.

[Dr. Arch]

NM having a completely D house delegation is something to behold in the map!

Also, I think we're looking at something like 232D.

[wbrocks67]

Arizona looking to be out of reach.

Florida obviously shouldn’t even be a discussion.

How many total house seats we looking at? 229?

Can you please stop trolling.

AZ has like 600,000+ votes left to count. And FL is literally at like a 21k margin.

[SPQR]

Arizona looking to be out of reach.

Florida obviously shouldn’t even be a discussion.

How many total house seats we looking at? 229?

Can you please stop trolling.

AZ has like 600,000+ votes left to count. And FL is literally at like a 21k margin.

He'll stop trolling when people stop paying attention to him...

[Gass3268]

Democrats could win the Ag Commission job in Florida. Only down .06%.

[MillennialModerate]

Arizona looking to be out of reach.

Florida obviously shouldn’t even be a discussion.

How many total house seats we looking at? 229?

Can you please stop trolling.

AZ has like 600,000+ votes left to count. And FL is literally at like a 21k margin.

600k? Is there any official source because the numbers I’ve seen are everywhere.

I was under the impression that the area the votes are from should Lean McSally....

And Florida might be out of votes so 21k might as well be 21 million.

[Devout Centrist]

https://twitter.com/TroyKinsey/status/1060329661924864000

[Landslide Lyndon]

Arizona looking to be out of reach.

Florida obviously shouldn’t even be a discussion.

How many total house seats we looking at? 229?

Can you please stop trolling.

AZ has like 600,000+ votes left to count. And FL is literally at like a 21k margin.

He'll stop trolling when people stop paying attention to him...

This.
And please stop quoting all these trolls we already have on ignore.

[7,052,770]

Arizona looking to be out of reach.

Florida obviously shouldn’t even be a discussion.

How many total house seats we looking at? 229?

How did you not learn your lesson yesterday with Montana?

[Gass3268]

Still 20,000 absentee votes left to count in GA-07:

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1060547052877299713

[Snipee356]

The House keeps looking better and better for Dems. We could possibly reach 234.

[Dr. Arch]

Arizona looking to be out of reach.

Florida obviously shouldn’t even be a discussion.

How many total house seats we looking at? 229?

How did you not learn your lesson yesterday with Montana?

[Badger]

Still 20,000 absentee votes left to count in GA-07:

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1060547052877299713

So the Democrat getting 52.5% of absentee ballots in an election where the underlying vote was essentially a tie will flip this seat? Sounds eminently doable. So what am I missing as to why fivethirtyeight calls this seat likely r?

[MillennialModerate]

Arizona looking to be out of reach.

Florida obviously shouldn’t even be a discussion.

How many total house seats we looking at? 229?

How did you not learn your lesson yesterday with Montana?

Hope to learn my lesson on arizona. We need that seat badly

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/KevinCate/status/1060540221077549056

https://twitter.com/steveschale/status/1060555674457907200

Democrats are also making a massive push to get people to check that their VBM were accurately counted. Plus I think there are votes left in Duval and Palm Beach.

I think the Ag Com race flips and the Senate race is going to get really close.

[Pandaguineapig]

https://twitter.com/KevinCate/status/1060540221077549056

https://twitter.com/steveschale/status/1060555674457907200

Democrats are also making a massive push to get people to check that their VBM were accurately counted. Plus I think there are votes left in Duval and Palm Beach.

I think the Ag Com race flips and the Senate race is going to get really close.

Really wishful thinking, Duval &PB dumped last night meaning that there are about 15-20k left in Broward and at most 10k provisionals statewide, Fried could easily win but Nelson doesn't have the numbers

[CellarDoor]

https://twitter.com/KevinCate/status/1060540221077549056

https://twitter.com/steveschale/status/1060555674457907200

Democrats are also making a massive push to get people to check that their VBM were accurately counted. Plus I think there are votes left in Duval and Palm Beach.

I think the Ag Com race flips and the Senate race is going to get really close.

Really wishful thinking, Duval &PB dumped last night meaning that there are about 15-20k left in Broward and at most 10k provisionals statewide, Fried could easily win but Nelson doesn't have the numbers

Maybe not, but it will likely get under the threshold for a hand recount, which would be interesting.

[MillennialModerate]

The House keeps looking better and better for Dems. We could possibly reach 234.

I see 229-230. Where do you see those 4 extra