Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1

[Calthrina950]

Does anyone else think that Mitt Romney's win in Utah was a little underwhelming? Barley getting 60% and losing two counties he won when he ran in 2012, plus maybe an outside shot of losing Salt Lake County.

Romney's win was very underwhelming. He did about 9% worse as compared to 2012, and as you have noted, lost two counties (and only narrowly won Salt Lake County). Why Romney underperformed to such an extent is beyond me. Some people on here actually thought he would get 80% of the vote!

[_]

LOOK AT THIS DOOD FOR NM-2

https://www.kob.com/politics-news/republican-yvette-herrell-wins-hotly-contested-2nd-congressional-district-seat/5135774/

[Tintrlvr]

Could Golden still win in ME-02 with automatic runoff?

I think Golden’s favored, actually.

Yes, I would be surprised if Golden lost, though the instant run-off is a bit unpredictable since it's the first go-round - maybe nearly everyone failed to mark a second choice.

Anyone know when they will start distributing preferences in ME-02? I looked at the precincts left to report on NYT (they have a breakdown by town), and it's all tiny municipalities, we're talking no more than a few thousand votes total, can't make much difference in the result.

[Brittain33]

Does anyone else think that Mitt Romney's win in Utah was a little underwhelming? Barley getting 60% and losing two counties he won when he ran in 2012, plus maybe an outside shot of losing Salt Lake County.

Romney's win was very underwhelming. He did about 9% worse as compared to 2012, and as you have noted, lost two counties (and only narrowly won Salt Lake County). Why Romney underperformed to such an extent is beyond me. Some people on here actually thought he would get 80% of the vote!

I think a good chunk of suburban Mormons around SLC are moving away from the Republican Party under Trump. Not enough to wildly flip any results for the foreseeable future, but it's something.

Are they moving away from Rs, or did they just sit out this election because they don’t like Trump and Romney was a shoo-in? Governors’ races in Utah are in presidential years so Mormons could safely stay home.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

LOOK AT THIS DOOD FOR NM-2

https://www.kob.com/politics-news/republican-yvette-herrell-wins-hotly-contested-2nd-congressional-district-seat/5135774/

PAGE NOT FOUND

L-O-L

[ag]

NYT has called NM-2 for Dems!

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

All-Dem New Mexico delegation!

[Tintrlvr]

CNN still has it called for Herrell on their site, ha.

NYT and Politico also just adjusted Ortiz-Jones's total in TX-23 downward by about 500 votes but made no change to Hurd's. Anyone know what happened there? CNN still has the old numbers but seems to be behind the times now.

[Gass3268]

I love that save Hurd's district (which could still flip to Ortiz Jones), every single congressional district on the border is represented by Dems.

Build that wall!

[wbrocks67]

Are they gonna call GA-06 or...

[GeorgiaModerate]

Are they gonna call GA-06 or...

I think there are still a bunch of provisionals out in Fulton, so probably not until those are all resolved.

[Tintrlvr]

Has anyone heard anything about those rumored absentee ballots from Gwinnett County in GA-07 that were supposed to be uncounted as of early this morning?

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Anyone know why NYT hasn't called NY-22 for Brindisi?

[Bidenworth2020]

Anyone know why NYT hasn't called NY-22 for Brindisi?

could probably go to a recount

[Sestak]

I think we’re looking at around 232 seats, +/-1.

[RI]

McSally's lead has increased by about 1,000 votes from some random rural counties.

[Gass3268]

Anyone else think it's funny that with all the fools in here cheering or whining thinking Tester was going to lose and he's going to end up with the biggest victory of his career.

[lfromnj]

Anyone else think it's funny that with all the fools in here cheering or whining thinking Tester was going to lose and he's going to end up with the biggest victory of his career.

Looks like montana has a whole isn't gone. Remember that Trump campaigned more against tester than anybody else and still the rural hicks in MT loved Testers haircut so they voted for him.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Just found out Torres Small is 34. 0_0

[MT Treasurer]

Anyone else think it's funny that with all the fools in here cheering or whining thinking Tester was going to lose and he's going to end up with the biggest victory of his career.

That remains to be seen. It could be a little closer than it was in 2012, but MT Dems definitely did a good job here, while the NRSC completely f**ked this race up.

Speaking of "fools", though.. I remember people here thinking that Nelson would win easily, Donnelly and McCaskill would win, Democrats would take the Senate, etc. Are they "fools" as well?

[progressive85]

Andy Kim is now leading in New Jersey.  That would mean 4 pickups in NJ alone - and only one Republican left in the 12-seat delegation - and Chris Smith got a much smaller percentage- 55.8%- after getting 63.7% in 2016 and never going below 60% since 1982.  He's been in there since 1980.

[henster]

Tester has broken 50% the first time ever in his elections.

[user12345]

Tester has broken 50% the first time ever in his elections.

bUt iTs nOt a BluE wAvE!!!!

[KingSweden]

Tester has broken 50% the first time ever in his elections.

It’s the haircut

[progressive85]

The blue wave is actually getting bigger as we go into Thursday