SC: Rasmussen: McCain ahead by 9% (user search)
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  SC: Rasmussen: McCain ahead by 9% (search mode)
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Author Topic: SC: Rasmussen: McCain ahead by 9%  (Read 3187 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
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Posts: 58,190
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« on: June 09, 2008, 12:27:55 AM »

In a 50/50 election, McCain would win more than by single digits. The reason Obama is polling well is because as of now, according to Rasmussen, the election is not 50/50. It favors Obama.

The national margin corresponding to this state poll was Obama +5, i.e., this poll says that SC is McCain by national margin + 14 points.

So, if Obama wins 50-48 nationally, he`d lose SC 55-43 ... Sounds about right.

BTW: They'll probably release the TX poll today, because they removed the announcement from the Daily Tracking story ...
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