Iowa GOP Straw Poll - 11 August 2007

[Verily]

Updating my prediction based on some more information:

Romney: 46%
Huckabee: 15%
Tancredo: 12%
T. Thompson: 10%
Brownback: 7%
Paul: 6%
Hunter: 2%
Cox: 2%

Just curious... what information?

More knowledge of Huckabee's levels of organization at the Fair, for example.

[poughies]

Just in case y'all don't know, C-Span is covering this thing.

[Keystone Phil]

Just in case y'all don't know, C-Span is covering this thing.

God bless political nerd networks.

[Speed of Sound]

Romney
Tancredo
Paul
Brownback
Huckabee
Giuliani
Thompson
McCain
Hunter
Cox

[Tender Branson]

My Final Prediction:

Romney: 26%
Brownback: 13%
Tancredo: 12%
Huckabee: 11%
Giuliani: 9%
Paul: 8%
T. Thompson: 7%
F. Thompson: 6%
Hunter: 4%
McCain: 3%

Keyes: about 0.5%
Cox: about 0.3%
Gilmore: about 0.2%

Turnout prediction: 30.000-35.000 votes will be cast

And yes, there are indeed a few Keyes supporters there:

[MasterJedi]

Exactly what time is the straw poll?

[Tender Branson]

Exactly what time is the straw poll?

Now.

Exactly from 10am Iowa Time to 6pm. At 7pm the results will be released. 8 hours to go.

[MasterJedi]

One of the Ron Paul organizers was on saying that they had a lot of support from out of state. Meaning people were driving in and volunteering but not many from in the state. They still think they'll be in the top 5 though.

[SPC]

One of the Ron Paul organizers was on saying that they had a lot of support from out of state. Meaning people were driving in and volunteering but not many from in the state. They still think they'll be in the top 5 though.

Well, those organizers could try to convert people who got their ticket and transportation from the Romney camp. Also, let's not forget how much available money Paul has to spend so he could buy tickets for people.

[YRABNNRM]

Coverage is on C-SPAN right now.

Gingrich is speaking right now for some reason, delivering a CarlHayden-esq rant on illegal immigration.

[Eraserhead]

One of the Ron Paul organizers was on saying that they had a lot of support from out of state. Meaning people were driving in and volunteering but not many from in the state. They still think they'll be in the top 5 though.

Well, those organizers could try to convert people who got their ticket and transportation from the Romney camp. Also, let's not forget how much available money Paul has to spend so he could buy tickets for people.

Ron Paul spending money on people? I think not!

Also worth noting is that I hear Paul's wife has had to go to the hospital. I'm not sure if that is going to have an impact or not.

[Reluctant Republican]

Coverage is on C-SPAN right now.

Gingrich is speaking right now for some reason, delivering a CarlHayden-esq rant on illegal immigration.

Gngrich looks rather folksy. Love the shirt.

[MasterJedi]

Coverage is on C-SPAN right now.

Gingrich is speaking right now for some reason, delivering a CarlHayden-esq rant on illegal immigration.

He's saying they should create a system to track felons which would also keep illegal immigrants who commit crimes not stay in the country. I guess you support keeping illegal felons in the country.

One of the Ron Paul organizers was on saying that they had a lot of support from out of state. Meaning people were driving in and volunteering but not many from in the state. They still think they'll be in the top 5 though.

Well, those organizers could try to convert people who got their ticket and transportation from the Romney camp. Also, let's not forget how much available money Paul has to spend so he could buy tickets for people.

Ron Paul spending money on people? I think not!

Also worth noting is that I hear Paul's wife has had to go to the hospital. I'm not sure if that is going to have an impact or not.

He is actually buying people's tickets though.

[Bay Ridge, Bklyn! Born and Bred]

I love it how some people (mainly Democrats and liberal pundits on the media) were predicting with certaintly that Republicans would NEVER consider a Mormon candidate, and now look at Romney, leading in both Iowa and New Hampshire.

these same people are the same ones who are "predicting" with certainty that a Democrat is going to win the White House in 2008

[YRABNNRM]

Coverage is on C-SPAN right now.

Gingrich is speaking right now for some reason, delivering a CarlHayden-esq rant on illegal immigration.

He's saying they should create a system to track felons which would also keep illegal immigrants who commit crimes not stay in the country. I guess you support keeping illegal felons in the country.

How are we going to track them? Barcodes? Microchips?

No thanks, lets just throw them in jail and not pretend that illegal immigrants are the only ones that commit crimes.

[Eraserhead]

They are playing some rockin' tunes tonight!

[MasterJedi]

Coverage is on C-SPAN right now.

Gingrich is speaking right now for some reason, delivering a CarlHayden-esq rant on illegal immigration.

He's saying they should create a system to track felons which would also keep illegal immigrants who commit crimes not stay in the country. I guess you support keeping illegal felons in the country.

How are we going to track them? Barcodes? Microchips?

No thanks, lets just throw them in jail and not pretend that illegal immigrants are the only ones that commit crimes.

Names, pictures and finger prints. You know what he means. He also said counties who wouldn't help should be removed from all federal aid (which should happen since many counties love to keep illegals around). Let's just throw them back to their home country, that would be easier, and cheaper.

[Eraserhead]

haha they showeed a Fox News sign in that little Republican montage.

[MasterJedi]

haha they showeed a Fox News sign in that little Republican montage.

It was a local fox station.

I can see all the libs going crazy now at the pledge being repeated right now. How horrible, they mentioned God!

[YRABNNRM]

Coverage is on C-SPAN right now.

Gingrich is speaking right now for some reason, delivering a CarlHayden-esq rant on illegal immigration.

He's saying they should create a system to track felons which would also keep illegal immigrants who commit crimes not stay in the country. I guess you support keeping illegal felons in the country.

How are we going to track them? Barcodes? Microchips?

No thanks, lets just throw them in jail and not pretend that illegal immigrants are the only ones that commit crimes.

Names, pictures and finger prints. You know what he means. He also said counties who wouldn't help should be removed from all federal aid (which should happen since many counties love to keep illegals around). Let's just throw them back to their home country, that would be easier, and cheaper.

I don't disagree with that; I just don't appreciate it when some try to make it sound like illegal immigrants are good for nothing and are the only ones that commit crimes in this country.

Anyway, it looks like the Romney cult has just barreled into the arena...

[MasterJedi]

They sure like Brownback, Tancredo and Tommy Thompson in that presentation. They've shown them the most so far.

[YRABNNRM]

OH MY GOD

This is so bad.

[MasterJedi]

OH MY GOD

This is so bad.

It's Iowa and country, they like it but the rest of us (and probably a lot of people that went there) don't.

[MasterJedi]

Cox and Paul look really bad. They look half dead, should try some sleep.

Tommy Thompson and Brownback also got the second biggest applause (obviously Romney got the biggest).

[Reluctant Republican]

Mitt needs to start dressing casual, the look works for him.

So little applause for Paul. I've a feeling today won't be a good day for us Paul supporters.