Sam Spade's 2012 Congress/Governor Predictions (user search)
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  Sam Spade's 2012 Congress/Governor Predictions (search mode)
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Author Topic: Sam Spade's 2012 Congress/Governor Predictions  (Read 6823 times)
TheDeadFlagBlues
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,987
Canada
« on: August 29, 2011, 03:54:52 PM »

Why do you have Massachusetts at Lean R?
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TheDeadFlagBlues
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,987
Canada
« Reply #1 on: August 29, 2011, 05:38:05 PM »

Why do you have Massachusetts at Lean R?

Because literally every sign shows MA being at least Lean R?

It's MA, though. Scott Brown has faced no scrutiny yet outside of a few very small stories buried in newspapers. I'd wait until next year's summer before declaring it a Lean R race. Elizabeth Warren would be a boon for netroots fundraising and could easily match Brown on that front.
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TheDeadFlagBlues
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,987
Canada
« Reply #2 on: August 30, 2011, 03:34:49 PM »

Why do you have Massachusetts at Lean R?

Being cautious, which seems appropriate, though if Obama continues to have trouble where the polls say, Massachusetts will continue to be less D at the Presidential level (not competitive, but you know what I mean), thereby helping Brown immensely.

I wouldn't be surprised if Obama's numbers were in the negatives at this point in MA but Scott Brown's glow could be fading by this point, especially after the debt ceiling debacle which seems to have damaged every Congressional incumbent in the nation.

I want more polling! Too many Democrats are resigned to losing this race.
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