ND-SEN: But you are, Blanche, you are (user search)
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  ND-SEN: But you are, Blanche, you are (search mode)
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Author Topic: ND-SEN: But you are, Blanche, you are  (Read 108991 times)
Rhenna
Gabor
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Posts: 625
United States


« on: July 23, 2018, 07:50:21 PM »

Pure toss up at the moment, but I think ND will come home for Heidi. If she can beat Berg despite a large deficit in the polls in a neutral year, she can beat Cramer with relatively tight polls in a strong Democratic year.
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Rhenna
Gabor
Jr. Member
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Posts: 625
United States


« Reply #1 on: October 04, 2018, 03:45:34 PM »

She's still going to win.
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Rhenna
Gabor
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 625
United States


« Reply #2 on: October 04, 2018, 04:44:26 PM »

Looked bad in 2012 too. Ultimately, ND is a difficult state to poll and analyze. We just don't have enough evidence to prove this is anything but a toss up.
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Rhenna
Gabor
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 625
United States


« Reply #3 on: October 04, 2018, 04:48:58 PM »

Looked bad in 2012 too. Ultimately, ND is a difficult state to poll and analyze. We just don't have enough evidence to prove this is anything but a toss up.

I think it requires very rose-colored glasses to consider it a tossup at this point.  Certainly Heitkamp isn't out of it and could still win, but all the (admittedly limited) evidence points to Cramer being ahead.
That's a conclusion to pull if you considered the polls reliable, but I don't. ND is one of those states where I can't trust a poll in. The environment does help Heitkamp, which is really the only thing I can pull from this race.
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Rhenna
Gabor
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 625
United States


« Reply #4 on: October 16, 2018, 05:18:04 PM »

Yikes. I can definitely see Cramer hammer this issue until the very end. Definitely not a good look.
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