Your reaction to this outcome? (user search)
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  Your reaction to this outcome? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Your reaction to this outcome?  (Read 377 times)
Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,123
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78

« on: July 08, 2016, 10:26:24 AM »

What would be your reaction? And how likely is it?

Reaction: Thank God the world won't think my state is stupid.

Likelihood: 5%
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Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,123
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78

« Reply #1 on: July 08, 2016, 10:56:42 AM »

Dominating! But I'd also wonder why so many happy SD farmers moved to KS.

Kansas is furious at the Republican Party in general right now.
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Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,123
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78

« Reply #2 on: July 08, 2016, 11:12:01 AM »

Dominating! But I'd also wonder why so many happy SD farmers moved to KS.

Kansas is furious at the Republican Party in general right now.

Right, but weren't they in 2014 as well?

The anger has been at state officials, but it's gotten worse.  There's a general sense that GOP policy has bankrupted their state, and not lived up to a single promise made.
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Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,123
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78

« Reply #3 on: July 08, 2016, 01:16:15 PM »

That map, minus Kansas, is about what I would expect from a massive Clinton landslide. If it was November 7, and the polls showed Clinton up by 15+ points, I would expect the map to look something like that.

The likelihood of that outcome is less than 1% unless Trump's campaign collapses.

I would have said Kansas was impossible if not for several polls showing it within reach.  Maybe it's noise, but it does seem like there's movement there.
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