Austrian Election - October 1, 2006

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Possible coalitions (if the results hold):

If the results hold, the only 2-party coalition possible is the grand coalition (and the only three-party coalition impossible is FPO-Grune-BZO   ). What is going to happen?

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Somebody has suggested www.news.at  . You could also check

http://electionresources.org/at/nationalrat.php?election=2006

In any case, for the record, it seems the results are:

Turnout 74.22%

SPO 35.71% (-0.8%), 68 seats
VPO  34.22% (-8.08%) 66 seats
FPO 11.21% (+1.2%) 21 seats
Grune 10.49% (+1.02%) 20 seats
BZO 4.2% (+4.2%) 8 seats
Dr. Martin  2.83% (+2.83%) nil seats
KPO 1.01% (+0.45%) nil seats
Others 0.3% nil seats

Without BZO it would have been a 1 seat majority for Red-Green. As is, it seems it will be a grand coalition.

Update: it seems only to be final up to the absetee ballots (some 400,000 of these), so minor details might change.

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Also, SPO seems to have gotten the largest number of votes in 5 of the 9 lander: Burgenland, Carinthia (VPO came third, after BZO), Upper Austria (barely), Styria (barely) and Wiena. VPO is ahead in the other 4

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4% or 1 direct mandate.

Over here

http://electionresources.org/at/

it says this:
 
The two-tier National Council electoral system was replaced in 1992 with a three-stage procedure that reintroduced smaller-sized constituencies - to foster closer links among voters and their elected representatives - without sacrificing proportionality in the distribution of seats. Under this system, which has remained in place to this day, the Länder continue to function as state constituencies, but these are in turn divided in forty-three regional constituencies. Parties submit regional, state and federal lists of candidates; electors vote for a party and may cast preferential votes for one regional list candidate and one state list candidate. A statewide electoral quota, calculated by the Hare method, is used to allocate seats at both the regional constituency and state levels; seats won by a party at the regional constituency level - direct mandates - are subtracted from its corresponding statewide seat total, and the remaining mandates come from the party's state lists. Finally, all 183 National Council seats are distributed at the federal level by the d'Hondt rule; seats won by a party at the state level are then deducted from its corresponding nationwide seat total, and the remaining mandates are allocated from the party's federal lists. Nonetheless, a party must receive at least four percent of the vote or win at least one direct mandate in order to secure representation in the National Council.

BTW, the greens, for the first time in history, won two direct mandates.