MD-Primary Sept 12

[MarkWarner08]

I predicted Janet Owens would win. Go Owens!

[MarkWarner08]

Do we have any reliable results from AZ-08 yet?  That's the other big race of the evening.

I'm hearing the NRCC has sent their ground troops to increase turnout for Huffman. I guarantee Graf will win because Hellon and Huffman are splitting the moderate vote.

[MarkWarner08]

Mark my words, if both Mfume and Simms lose tonight, O'Malley and Cardin are going to have a very rough 2 months.

African Americans are not going to turn out for a O'Malley/Cardin/Gansler/WHITECOMPTROLLER ticket.

Simms and Mfume are going to lose.

[MarkWarner08]

AZ-08 is very close, in case you haven't been paying attention.

http://www.azsos.gov/results/2006/primary/REP-1008.htm

Graf leads 40.5% to 39.0% over Huffman.

I have. The remaining precincts are anti-immigration areas that will support Graf. I hope my prediction of a Graf win will make up for my blunder in the Chafee race.

[MarkWarner08]

57% reporting


Ben CARDIN 129432 46%
Kweisi MFUME 103306 37%
Josh RALES 16148 6%

SUSA nailed the margin of victory. I hope their Tennessee poll was as accurate as the Maryland poll.

[MarkWarner08]

BREAKING NEWS: Randy Graf won!

This is what the "Arizon 8th Blog" say "With 60% of Cochise County reporting 48% to 34% Randy Graf over Steve Huffman."

It's now mathematically impossible for Huffman to win.

Democrats just picked up a House seat!

http://arizonaeighth.blogspot.com/

[MarkWarner08]

BREAKING NEWS: Randy Graf won!

This is what the "Arizon 8th Blog" say "With 60% of Cochise County reporting 48% to 34% Randy Graf over Steve Huffman."

It's now mathematically impossible for Huffman to win.

Democrats just picked up a House seat!

http://arizonaeighth.blogspot.com/

That is only the result within Cochise County.  It will result in Graf picking up about 1,100 votes, if the stats I got on the other site are correct.

Graf will lead by about 1,650 votes with 93 precincts outstanding from Pima Cty. (Tuscon)

I ran the numbers and calculated that based on the current number of votes it would be nearly impossible for Huffman to win.

[MarkWarner08]

Democrats just picked up a House seat!

|X|

You think Randy Graf can win the general? The folks at the NRCC don't think so and they've been winning House elections since 1994. Tom Davis turned the NRCC into the lean, mean fighting machine it is today.

He sensed the vulnerablity of David Midge and Sam Gejdenson back in 2000 and he beat the Democrats in opens seats in 2000 and 2002.

He left the NRCC with a legacy of winning. If they don't think Graf will win, Iit's hard to disagree with them.

[MarkWarner08]

Based on my knowledge of the CD and of the "creationist-supporting" Graf, I would place AZ-08 with Graf as nominee at #3 on the Dem pickup list, ahead of PA-06 and behind only TX-22 and IA-01.

Exactly.

What do you get when you place a political neanderthal in a swing district? A lost GOP House seat.

[MarkWarner08]

The margin is more around 2,000 now.  Graf will win.

Arizona 8th called it at 9:21. They deserve some serious props.