States To Go Blue

[mark_twain]

I think a few states will go blue by the end of next week:

Florida
North Carolina
Nevada
Ohio


Feel free to discuss.

[mark_twain]

She'll get a nice bounce.  I'd say 3% - 5%.  Debate bounces don't usually lost long though.

I think Trump will win in a landslide.  My gut is telling me this.

He will flip Florida, Ohio, Nevada to red.  Keep North Carolina in the red column.

Pennsylvania or Michigan will push him over the 270 mark.

People are crazy if they think Obama's coalition will turn out as strong as they did for Obama.  She is just a very bad candidate.  Hispanic turnout might go up but African American turnout will plummet.

This is not a bounce, I'm sorry to tell you...it's a shift.

PPP poll results are already coming and looking good for Clinton.

[mark_twain]

I think a few states will go blue by the end of next week:

Florida
North Carolina
Nevada
Ohio


Feel free to discuss.

Individual polls or polling averages?

Averages of state polls conducted after the debate.

As of today, there are already positive results from PPP for some of these states.

[mark_twain]

Do you mean Atlas-blue or conventional blue?

Everyone is welcome to use their own tracking of the polls.

Personally, I use the 538 forecast of state results.

[mark_twain]

I think a few states will go blue by the end of next week:

Florida
North Carolina
Nevada
Ohio


Feel free to discuss.

All blue now, according to 538!

[mark_twain]

We're talking about Atlasian blue or what? This is confusing.

538 Blue