It's getting to the point we can summarize many poll reactions this way:
"My preconceived notions of how people who disagree with me think must be superior to this undesirable polling result."
At this point, I see a lot of people basically saying, "PVI is permanent and perfect."
There is an argument that Trump is the closest thing to a map-scrambling candidate we've seen in our lifetimes. Add that to the fact these are the most two disliked candidates in recent memory, and that's a recipe for some significant PVI-busting oddities this year.
And we have quite a few polls that are confirming that. It's not impossible.
This is a pretty straightforward question: do you think it's plausible to argue that CO's PVI is going to shift to the right of PA's PVI? If so, why do you believe that this is plausible?
CO's PVI was to the right of PA's in 2010. They are currently both D+1 states. Why wouldn't one state shift more to the right of the other? PVI doesn't necessarily move in lock step.