What is your opinion on Allan Lichtman's methodology? (user search)
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  What is your opinion on Allan Lichtman's methodology? (search mode)
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Author Topic: What is your opinion on Allan Lichtman's methodology?  (Read 1063 times)
junior chįmp
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,394
Croatia
« on: November 24, 2017, 01:36:04 PM »
All historical models are trash but they all have a grain of truth to them
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junior chįmp
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,394
Croatia
« Reply #1 on: November 24, 2017, 08:09:37 PM »
Quote from: SteveRogers on November 24, 2017, 05:53:41 PM
Quote from: Generalissimo Mondale on November 24, 2017, 01:36:04 PM
All historical models are trash but they all have a grain of truth to them

Sure, there's a "grain of truth" to what Lichtman says in that it is obviously true that the incumbent party is more likely to win an election when the economy is good or when the opposing party is in disarray or when the party's candidate is "charismatic." However, it is not proper to describe that groundbreaking #analysis as a model.

You have a big brain.good luck with that
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