Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1

[ajc0918]

Rip McSally

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Looks like Sinema will take it!

[CellarDoor]

Maricopa singlehandedly wiped out McSally's lead statewide. Sinema gained 19.5K net votes.

Is that all of it or is there more?

~4 more of those to come next week.

I mean, Maricopa, specifically.

There are still about 350K ballots left to count in Maricopa.

[CellarDoor]

I want to know where in Maricopa the ballots have/will come from. Though I very much doubt it'll swing GOP.

We don't know exactly where they are from, but they are mostly late arriving early ballots, which tend to favor Sinema.

[Oryxslayer]

Maricopa singlehandedly wiped out McSally's lead statewide. Sinema gained 19.5K net votes.

Is that all of it or is there more?

~4 more of those to come next week.

I mean, Maricopa, specifically.

If this really was a 100K drop, then it was 100K of Just under 500K. So 4 more to come. But it looks like it may have been bigger then 100K.

[Badger]

Rubio is starting to get whiney on Twitter.

Stop please, this damn race must be declared. I'm tired of hearing that Nelson has this

Sock or bot? Hmmmmmm.....

[Roronoa D. Law]

Honestly, McSally set her self up for failure when she failed to get a comfortable margin on Election Day.

[RI]

Sinema won ~57% of that ~125K dump.

[libertpaulian]

If Sinema wins this thing, Dems need to contest AZ for real in 2020.

[Sestak]

Maricopa singlehandedly wiped out McSally's lead statewide. Sinema gained 19.5K net votes.

Is that all of it or is there more?

~4 more of those to come next week.

I mean, Maricopa, specifically.

If this really was a 100K drop, then it was 100K of Just under 500K. So 4 more to come. But it looks like it may have been bigger then 100K.

I think it was around 150K

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Sinema won ~57% of that ~125K dump.

I honestly don't see McSally recovering from that.

[Aurelio21]

Just relax. If Mrs Sinema wins this, Nelson and Espy, too, it will be anybodies guess what's happening next. Maybe Donald has no love for McConnell anymore, and then tries to fire Mike Pence?

[pppolitics]

looks like Maricopa still has another ~350K to drop

https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/status/1060684982547472384

[Storr]

If Sinema wins this thing, Dems need to contest AZ for real in 2020.

Rep. Ruben Gallego has been rumored to be the favored candidate among Democrats.

[libertpaulian]

Sinema's lead is a little too close for comfort right now.

[IceSpear]

If Sinema wins this thing, Dems need to contest AZ for real in 2020.

Replace OH/IA with GA/AZ/TX. So much for the Sunbelt Strategy being a failure solely because Ossoff lost, LOL.

[Sestak]

If Sinema wins this thing, Dems need to contest AZ for real in 2020.

Replace OH/IA with GA/AZ/TX. So much for the Sunbelt Strategy being a failure solely because Ossoff lost, LOL.

Not completely ready to write off IA...

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

SINEMA!!!!!!!

QUEEN SINEMA!!!!!!!



!!!!!!!

[libertpaulian]

If Sinema wins this thing, Dems need to contest AZ for real in 2020.

Rep. Ruben Gallego has been rumored to be the favored candidate among Democrats.

I'm talking presidentially also.

[OSR stands with Israel]

Nooooo

[User157088589849]

Florida is now 15k  deficit.

Long way to go In Arizona. Mcsally is a terrible candidate but vast majority of republicans in the senate are just there for lobbyists to vote. They bring nothing to the table just vote.

[Oryxslayer]

Sinema's lead is a little too close for comfort right now.

Agree, But there should be 3/4 more dumps like that coming in the next week. If they are all like that, then this is GG.

[IceSpear]

Just relax. If Mrs Sinema wins this, Nelson and Espy, too, it will be anybodies guess what's happening next. Maybe Donald has no love for McConnell anymore, and then tries to fire Mike Pence?

Espy isn't winning, lol.

[Storr]

If Sinema wins this thing, Dems need to contest AZ for real in 2020.

Rep. Ruben Gallego has been rumored to be the favored candidate among Democrats.

I'm talking presidentially also.

Definitely. If Trump's people felt like campaigning for McSally would have only hurt her and decided to not have a rally, that doesn't bode well for him in 2020 (beyond what Sinema possibly winning already indicates).

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

If Regardless of whether Sinema wins this thing, Dems need to contest AZ for real in 2020.

See edits above.

Remember that AZ (like TX) is one of those states where it is generally tougher for Dems in midterms because the Dem base skews young and non-white.

So other things equal it should be easier to win AZ in a Presidential race than in a midterm Senate race.