How will the previous county vote in a future hypothetical election?

[Tekken_Guy]

Harris wins within 2-3 points of Biden's 2020 percentage of the vote. Safe D margin of victory against DeSantis.

Cuyahoga County, 2024 Kamala Harris vs Marco Rubio.

Harris slips a bit from Biden’s performance and there’s probably some snapback in the suburban collar of the county. 30 point win, I’d say.

Kamala Harris vs. Ron DeSantis: Atlantic County, NJ.

[Tekken_Guy]

AOC+5 or so, Biden's performance in Miami-Dade was probably close to rock bottom, the county has too many white liberals and liberals to flip

Lackawanna County, PA in 2028: Kamala Harris v Scott Walker

Harris would do terribly here, but Walker isn’t the strongest candidate for this county. I’d say Walker ekes out a win.

Summit County, OH: Harris vs. DeSantis

[Tekken_Guy]

AOC+5 or so, Biden's performance in Miami-Dade was probably close to rock bottom, the county has too many white liberals and liberals to flip

Lackawanna County, PA in 2028: Kamala Harris v Scott Walker

Harris would do terribly here, but Walker isn’t the strongest candidate for this county. I’d say Walker ekes out a win.

Summit County, OH: Harris vs. DeSantis

Lackawanna County voted for Clinton by 3% and Biden by 8%; how would Walker win there? This seems to assume that the Biden/Harris administration is highly unpopular.

Anyway, I think Summit County goes Democratic by 10-11 percent, with Harris improving slightly on Biden's performance: 55-44%.

How about this one? Elliott County, Kentucky, in whatever year you want - Governor Andy Beshear (D-KY) pitted against Governor Kristi Noem (R-SD).

Noem would win, but Beshear would overperform by a decent amount.

How about Kamala Harris vs. Nikki Haley: Morris County, NJ.

[Tekken_Guy]

DeSantis's home state advantage is offset by the Democratic trend, so Biden +3.

Waukesha county, WI, Kamala Harris vs. Tucker Carlson, 2028.

Carlson by around 15 points or so.

Cameron County, TX - Kamala Harris vs. Marco Rubio