CARLHAYDEN
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Posts: 10,638
Political Matrix
E: 1.38, S: -0.51
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« on: November 06, 2005, 09:53:03 AM » |
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It all depends upon the methodology of the individual poll (determining likely voters).
I have always had a lot of respect for Mason-Dixon (which is usually within the MOE of actual results).
Rasmussen has been a little to the left since they changed their weighting after the 2000 fiasco.
SUSA is definitely to the left, and does poorly in non-Presidential elections.
The Roanoke College poll is absurd (Virginia).
Washington Post is somewhere between SUSA and Roanoke (Virginia).
Farleigh-Dickinson is erratic (New Jersey).
A lot depends on turnout.
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