Remaining right-wing American suburbs (user search)
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  Remaining right-wing American suburbs (search mode)
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Author Topic: Remaining right-wing American suburbs  (Read 3146 times)
RINO Tom
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,045
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.45, S: -0.52

« on: January 23, 2019, 10:56:46 PM »

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RINO Tom
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,045
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.45, S: -0.52

« Reply #1 on: January 25, 2019, 02:08:52 PM »

1) What are we defining as "right-wing"?  A GOP margin of 20%+?  That would be about as Republican as the state of New York was in 2016.  25%+?  That puts it around Vermont, Maryland and Massachusetts.  30%+?  That is literally California and Hawaii territory, the two most Democratic states last election.  Some people act like some counties - like Williamson County, TN - aren't VERY Republican simply because they trended Democratic, even though Trump won the county by more than Clinton won Hawaii.

2) Playing off of my first point, I don't think how a state is trending is really THAT relevant to simply answering the question.  If a county is super Republican, it's super Republican.  Might it not be one day?  Sure!  However, currently, there are a LOT of very, very Republican suburban areas, arguably more than very Democratic suburban areas.

3) This topic is very bronz, LOL.
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RINO Tom
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,045
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.45, S: -0.52

« Reply #2 on: January 25, 2019, 03:00:45 PM »

There are still a huge number, and Atlas is being delusional about suburban trends as usual.

The majority of those are trending D though. They're still super Republican, but how is Atlas delusional about suburban trends for recognizing they are happening, even if they may not flip all those counties?

Meanwhile, how many non-college white filled counties are trending D? Oh right, practically zero.

The point is that "trending" is somewhat of a birdwalk to answering this question and comes across like "yeah, Hamilton County, IN still voted super-duper Republican, but not super-SUPER-duper Republican!" ... cool?  This is just asking if there are still very Republican suburbs, and anyone who takes the time to look into that question knows the answer is an emphatic yes.  Also, if you are a Democrat who goes from Williamson County, TN by 46.5% in 2012 to 35.00% in 2016, how long and how far do you really think that trend is going to go?  *TRENDS* usually only last so long before something else shakes up the party dynamics.
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