Maine results thread.

[Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!]

Paulmentum!

IIRC the last two (and largest two) counties coming in were stronger for Romney and weaker for Paul than the rest, so this should be quite a bit closer than +15% Paul

Then again, a lot of these towns have lower turnout, and Paul is beating Romney in some towns where he was creamed last time, so we'll see.

[Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!]

Paulmentum!

IIRC the last two (and largest two) counties coming in were stronger for Romney and weaker for Paul than the rest, so this should be quite a bit closer than +15% Paul

Then again, a lot of these towns have lower turnout, and Paul is beating Romney in some towns where he was creamed last time, so we'll see.

York (and Cumberland, many voters there) were very good for Romney, neither were good at all in Washington county, which McCain won.

Well, lets compare to 2008:

http://liveweb.archive.org/http://mysite.verizon.net/mark.j.ellis/Caucus%20Tally%20Report.pdf

-Paul won Aroostook, the northernmost county, by 8 votes (48-41). According to the list, he's now leading Romney 81-26 there, which is a pretty huge change (and implies that Paul is using GOTV much better than Romney)

-Romney won Knox 144-58 (McCain 74) in 08. Right now, Paul is narrowly winning 98-96 (32 Santorum).

-Kennebec was won by Romney, 178-112 (65 McCain). Presently, its at 40-29 Paul.

so, assuming this list is mostly correct, Paul is more likely than not going to beat Romney by a mid-range to wide margin. Still, its possible the last precincts will be more pro-Romney than the rest (most of the precincts in are from the Paul friendly north), which could close things up.

[Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!]

Here's an image of the placeholder results:



EDIT: I checked the AP page and they have test results up. Mystery solved.

If the results actually turn out like this, I'll eat my own socks

[Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!]

From what I've heard,

-Paul is going to sweep Sanford

-Romney is (probably) going to narrowly win Portland

Knowing that, I'm off to adjust my predictions

[Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!]

Remind me, when do the Maine results "officially" start coming in?

[Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!]

The spreadsheet has more updated numbers from Androscoggin with Santorum beating Mitt (Should be Rick's best county).

Paul 262 (41.2%)
Santorum 188 (29.6%)
Romney 173 (27.2%)
Gingrich 13 (2.0%)

Yeah, go Santorum!

[Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!]

I don't really understand the Romney-hatred.

I think it's pretty clear that people's objections to Romney aren't political so much as personal.

It is rather intimidating, because just whom can be as perfect as Romney? Most of us are dissipated sinners who have failed miserably in life by comparison. So we have this sense that Mittens does not respect us, given all of our innumerable character flaws. Mittens may be God, but we suspect somehow that he does not love us. And the thought of a God who does not love us, is really a rather frightening specter, isn't it?

Looks like Politico has learned how to hack, guys