VA-09/SurveyUSA: Boucher (D) leading by 10

[Mr.Phips]

Griffith will run again in 2012 if he doesn't win this year. He's already telling people that he'll make sure his home in Salem is put in the district in redistricting.

And Democrats in the state Senate will likely fight anything that makes this district more Republican.  If Griffith cant win in the best year for Republicans since 1894, he wont win in a better Democratic year like 2012.

[Mr.Phips]

Griffith will run again in 2012 if he doesn't win this year. He's already telling people that he'll make sure his home in Salem is put in the district in redistricting.

And Democrats in the state Senate will likely fight anything that makes this district more Republican.  If Griffith cant win in the best year for Republicans since 1894, he wont win in a better Democratic year like 2012.

The district is going to have to expand, since its population has stagnated while NoVa has been exploding. There aren't many places it can go, and it already borders Salem. I keep saying, Democrats are overestimating the amount of power the Senate Dems have over this process.

How do the courts lean that have jurisdiction over this area?  Senate Democrats could deadlock the process and then have the courts pick a map.