Georgia's Very Own Megathread!

[tmthforu94]

Is it safe to say Deal will win re-election, or are people realizing how big of a scumbag he is?

[tmthforu94]

Ugh, why would they not poll Handel? How disappointing - she's my favorite to win this seat, but I don't know if she can get past the good ole' boys of the GOP with the run-off system.

[tmthforu94]

I don't see any way Cagle runs - he's stuck.

[tmthforu94]

I'm still on the Karen Handel bandwagon - I don't know if anyone else has "liked" her on Facebook, but her social media campaign has been interactive and very impressive thus far. I'm just hoping she can work some late magic like she did before the Gubernatorial primary in 2010, then be able to hang on due to her gaffe-prone opponents.

[tmthforu94]

Your Indiana argument is invalid because 1) I could have easily told you that Mourdock would blow the seat - I argued he would lose it for us throughout the primary campaign, and 2) Lugar would not have served out the full term had he been reelected. Not to take away from your overall argument, though.

[tmthforu94]

Well, I'll give Mike Collins, a Republican running in CD10, points for this ad.

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Great ad...good to know he is flexible!

[tmthforu94]

The fact that Deal isn't in jail yet is pretty surprising.

[tmthforu94]

http://www.peachpundit.com/2014/01/08/karen-handels-new-radio-ad-results/

Karen Handel is out with a new radio ad, called "Results".

Her campaign is similar to the 2010 Gubernatorial campaign - she's really going after her opponents and labeling herself as an outsider. Hopefully she is successful.

[tmthforu94]

In all honesty, though, what % is actually Deal's fault and what % is simply due to a lack of resources, something that no administration would have been prepared for?

[tmthforu94]

Too little too late for Handel, I'm afraid. It says something when the only major support you can garner is from out-of-state females.


With that being said: early voting for the primary opened today! I just got back from casting my vote.

She surged late in 2010 as well, didn't she? She's going to have to get a lot of momentum to win the run-off, but I don't think she is out of it quite yet.

[tmthforu94]

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=e52a072d-c58b-461c-81b7-b3db6c5e0f45&c=26

A SurveyUSA poll from 4/24 - 4/27.

Perdue - 26%
Kingston - 20%
Handel - 15%
Broun - 13%
Phil Gingrey - 6%

Perdue strong with male voters, tied with Handel with female voters.

[tmthforu94]

I'm not sure what you're referring to on 2010 being a 2-person race. Off the top of my head I can think of Deal (obviously), Oxendine, and Johnson. I think there were a couple small candidates in there as well.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Georgia_gubernatorial_election,_2010

Yep. Handel was also trailing up until two weeks before the election. I don't think she'll have the surge she had then, but it certainly may be enough to vault her into the run-off against Perdue.

[tmthforu94]

Who will fight for conservative principles AND get results?

Who wants to stop illegal immigration and Obamacare AND cut spending?

I like this ad. I think it's effective at distinguishing her from her opponents and I'm expecting to see her bump in the polls, assuming it's running as often as I seem to be seeing it

It's pretty effective, I would agree. She's using her 2010 playbook it appears - my concern is that all of the other candidates will rally around Perdue and the eventual outcome will be similar to 2010. Granted, I am not on the ground, but my advice to her would be to tone back on the negativity on everyone but Perdue and don't say anything about Broun or Gingrey - their endorsement would be very beneficial to her in the run-off.

[tmthforu94]

It looks like he is trying to set himself up for November, but this might open the door a little wider for Handel/Kingston to knock him off in the run-off.  This is going to be a tough race regardless, I'm just glad we aren't having to worry about Broun or Gingrey.

[tmthforu94]

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Disgusting.

[tmthforu94]

JAHN BARRA is running for Secretary of State! I can already see the campaign ads:

"I'm Jahn Barra and long before I was born, my granddaddy used this lil' Smith and Wesson here to help stahp a literacy test"

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http://politics.blog.myajc.com/2017/09/25/barrow-aims-for-a-political-comeback-with-bid-for-georgia-statewide-office/

If he wanted to run for statewide office, why not run for Governor? Would he struggle in a primary?