John Elway for US Senate (user search)
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  John Elway for US Senate (search mode)
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Author Topic: John Elway for US Senate  (Read 18027 times)
Smash255
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« Reply #25 on: May 15, 2007, 05:06:58 PM »

Can´t wait for a Colorado poll which ends your quarrel, (or not). Tongue

PS: I think the first CO presidential polls will show a slight advantage for the Republican candidate (0-5%) and a Toss-Up in the Senate. (+/- 3%)

Even though you're a Democrat, Tender, you're obviously pretty smart.  I think you're dead-on with your polling predictions.  Schaffer, who recently announced, has internals that show him literally neck and neck with Udall.  I think the first poll you'll get will show Udall up by a point or two and it will stay that way until Election Day where Schaffer will take it with the GOP's hard core GOTV.

As far as the presidential race, there's no doubt that the Republican will win (unless the Democrat is uber-popular Bill Richardson--which it won't be, so why bother talkign about it?).  Colorado is a red state.  Period.  Only one Democrat has won this state in the last fifty years!  Heck, even Nixon beat JFK!  (I know Clinton won in '92--but he got helped by Perot.  Colorado was Perot's 8th best state and only won with 35% of the vote.  Without Perot, Colorado stays red).

Kerry in 2004 thought he could put Colorado in play.  He wasted his money and got whooped.  Colorado come POTUS time is a ruby red state.  With other elections it's a crapshoot.  Colorado is a conservative state--though you can never rely on it to vote that way (sort of like Arkansas, I guess).  But there's just no way Hillary Clinton plays well in Colorado.  This is middle America, home to Focus on the Family and James Dobson, and the country's stiffest tax laws.  Trust me, Hillary won't play well here.

A state where Bush won by less than 5 and by a mere 2 points more than the national average is not the definition of a ruby red state...

Also Schaffer's INTERNALS show him neck and neck.  Keep in mind you said INTERNALS.  Internall polling that a candidate actually releases always shows them in much better shape than what they really are.  If he isn't even ahead in his own internal polls that he announces, he is really screwed.   
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