State Legislature Special Election Megathread v3

[Oryxslayer]

Oklahoma HD39 Done.

ERICK HARRIS (REP)   2,507, 50.37%

REGAN RAFF (DEM)   2,246, 45.13%

RICHARD PRAWDZIENSKI (LIB)   224 4.5%

Another classic Oklahoma Dems overperforance, this time in a Trump+26 seat, Though not enough.

[Oryxslayer]

GA HD-125 done. Safe R seat, what non-Republicans who did turn out would likely have been swayed towards one of the top two republicans given the targeted campaigns and comparatively big spending. Runoff between the two.

Gary Richardson (Rep) 1,691, 37.47%

CJ Pearson (Rep) 1,389, 30.78%
 
Jim Steed (Rep) 794, 17.59%

Kay Turner (Dem) 612, 13.56%

John Turpish (Lib) 27, 0.60%

[Oryxslayer]

PA HD140
60% in now

D 77.5%
R 22.5%

7/33 precincts added and only about 1.5K votes added to the total from the EV. Unlike NY-03, this one almost certainly was affected by snow.

[Oryxslayer]

https://twitter.com/MichaelLangeNYC/status/1757604206817534026?t=9Rq1Y3R3j-tQ-Mc...

Also in NY, the Bronx vote has stalled at 1.4k total votes with some precincts not in. Looking like a Dem underperformance - but still a overall landslide - seemingly cause of this hyperfixation by the Republican on one neighborhood block.

[Oryxslayer]

PA wasn't even close, as noted above. With all precincts in:

Jim Prokopiak (Dem)   6,462, 67.33%   

Candace Cabanas (Rep) 3,079, 32.08%

Write-in    56, 0.58%



As far as the final special election in the Bronx, the NYS BOE has it stalled for a while at 54/63 Precincts.

Landon C. Dais 1,026, 73.60%

Norman Sobe McGill, 288, 20.66%

Others and Write Ins, 80, 5.74%

[Oryxslayer]

Two Specials today, both in states up for Super Tuesday.  But neither are interesting 

Maine HD122: Seat immediately adjacent to Portland by the southern Bridge. Often goes uncontested D. The special doesn't even have a Republican,  just 2 Indies and a Dem.

Massachusetts House Worcester 6: South Central MA, a very rural seat between Springfield and Worcester.  This is as close to Safe R as you get in MA, and past incumbent Peter Durant often went without Dem opponents. There isn't anyone other than the Republican on the ballot this time,  at least according to ballotpedia.

[Oryxslayer]

Dem overperformed Biden by 2% or so in HD25. Still waiting on Macomb numbers in the other for a comparison, but Wayne is good for Dems which is why the seat is held.

Edit: NYT seemingly has Macomb but nobody else including the counties own site, Xiong outperformed Biden by about 3% in HD13.

[Oryxslayer]

Dem overperformed Biden by 2% or so in HD25. Still waiting on Macomb numbers in the other for a comparison, but Wayne is good for Dems which is why the seat is held.

Edit: NYT seemingly has Macomb but nobody else including the counties own site, Xiong outperformed Biden by about 3% in HD13.

Xiong’s performance was very impressive despite low Detroit turnout. She’d be a a top-tier recruit to take on John James one day.

Can a Michiganer confirm or deny if she intends to run for the new 13th district? The changes to the state House map to correct for minority access issues didn't change the over partisan seat counts of the map (not a surprise) but it did lurch the 13th specifically towards the Republicans. It would make sense that Dems sought a strong candidates early to hold the seat in November.