It's surprising how Republican Wisconsin has turned, and the transition will be complete if Romney carries the state in November.
It appears striking, but it is a composite of pretty simple changes. The odd thing is that the democrats have accelerated everything. It's like the first Batman movie when The Joker "Makes" Batman -- "You made me."
Dominating.
Kind was perfectly viable. Problem is that he knew in advance that those Madison nutters would vote for their fellow underperforming nutter.
The rest of the state is furious at Dane County's garbage; it will be great to see Baldwin lose by landslides in the 2 northern districts.
So, basically, Thompson's leading by 6-8, and this is a likely R Gain. Good to know.
Most likely.. though I'm gonna guess 8-10, but this one is a likely R gain
If Thompson is nominated, which is far from certain. Moderates are rarely if ever on the sunny side of an enthusiasm gap. He does have statewide name ID and a 4-way fight for conservative votes, so could sneak up the middle.
Thompson isn't exactly a moderate. He has a practical deal making streak in him. Two different things. I hadn't made up my mind about enthusiasm for him in November, but I now think it could get crazy. The WOW's will be crazy no matter what and Thompson could pump up the 3 outer congressional districts. Baldwin might win 6 of 72 counties.
She will raise a ton of money though and that is why Kind had no chance of getting out of a primary vs her. He can't win a statewide dem primary (he passed on gov 2010 as well) with someone to the left of him. So unless he gets a clear path, he will never step up. Republicans could pick up that seat if he vacated it as well.