Except outside of the Reuters and Bloomberg polls, both of which have their own set of flaws, there's nothing at this point backing up your 1932 assessment. Most of the polling right now is in the 3-6 point range nationally, not much different than 2012 outcome.
Personalities aside, to me this is your typical open seat election, which will end up in the same R+1 to D+7 range in voter turnout. With how polarized this country is, it's just a matter of who turns out more people.
If it ends up D+7, Hillary wins. If the electorate tilts to around D+3 it starts favoring Trump.
For every Democrat that hates Trump, there's a Republican that despises Hillary!
Up to this point, Romney did better than Trump in the polls, though. I mean Hillary even opened up a 10+ point RCP average for almost a month and a half not that long ago.
These races are not really the same. In the polls, Hillary is doing notably better than Obama was in 2012
(so far)http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/general_election_romney_vs_obama-1171.htmlhttp://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html
