Democratic KY / OR primary results thread (first polls close at 6pm ET) (user search)
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  Democratic KY / OR primary results thread (first polls close at 6pm ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Democratic KY / OR primary results thread (first polls close at 6pm ET)  (Read 25276 times)
jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,684
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

« on: May 17, 2016, 06:25:24 PM »

Again, I'd like to remind anyone implying that DD makes up numbers that DD has outpaced AP in various individual counties in every single state they've covered so far and once AP caught up their numbers were identical, so I have no idea how you could possibly think they make numbers up, but again, whatever.

Thanks for this.  I always wondered if DD was legit or not
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jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,684
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

« Reply #1 on: May 17, 2016, 06:26:04 PM »

Clinton ahead now on CNN

Looks like mostly because of Jefferson dump
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jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,684
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

« Reply #2 on: May 17, 2016, 06:26:56 PM »


Yep, Sanders back up again
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jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,684
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

« Reply #3 on: May 17, 2016, 06:28:39 PM »

Clinton will need more dumps from Jefferson and then Fayette to get her over the hump.
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jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,684
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

« Reply #4 on: May 17, 2016, 06:32:22 PM »

Clinton +14 in Jefferson with 41 counted.

DD had this update like 10 minutes ago btw, so once again they post something -> AP vindicates later.

Ideally what we need is an app that takes the MAX(DD,CNN) and produce a count/map as it looks like both sites have different counties where it is ahead in the count.
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jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,684
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

« Reply #5 on: May 17, 2016, 06:41:51 PM »

I think between  Jefferson and Fayette Clinton could net 12K more votes but Sanders up only 3K so he needs to find 9K gains elsewhere.
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jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,684
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

« Reply #6 on: May 17, 2016, 06:44:46 PM »

Looking at what is outstanding I rather be Clinton than Sanders right now.
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jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,684
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

« Reply #7 on: May 17, 2016, 06:55:20 PM »

Sanders' vote lead back to about a thousand.

This lead will not survive the next  Jefferson and/or Fayette dump.
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jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,684
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

« Reply #8 on: May 17, 2016, 06:59:16 PM »

Sander's "victory speech" for KY should say something like "...we held Clinton to below 50%..."
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jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,684
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

« Reply #9 on: May 17, 2016, 07:15:14 PM »

Sanders doing pretty well in Western rural counties.  He will keep this one close.   It should be Clinton by 1%-2% in the end.
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jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,684
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

« Reply #10 on: May 17, 2016, 07:20:56 PM »

I just find it funny how the 2008 Clinton vote is inversely correlated with the 2016 Clinton vote.  
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jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,684
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

« Reply #11 on: May 17, 2016, 07:22:27 PM »

Fayette came in on CNN Clinton now up by 4K.
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jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,684
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

« Reply #12 on: May 17, 2016, 07:28:24 PM »


Don't you think it's weird tho that the primary rules affect the results SO much? You'd think that it wouldn't make THAT much of a difference; maybe it's because Trump has locked up the nomination, so his would-be voters are voting for Sanders instead. Exit polls in WV showed a remarkable number of Sanders voters choosing Trump over Clinton; if the 2016 Dem primaries were made up of only Obama 2012 voters, Clinton would be sweeping so hard.

Cannot be that many of them.  The 2016 KY DEM primary vote is about half of the 2008 KY DEM primary vote.
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