Rasmussen Tracking Poll [Obama vs McCain]

[Zarn]

I know the conventions were a little close this year.

Would Obama still be getting some sort of DNC bounce? Aren't the convention bounces suppose to erode slowly?

Obama's peak from the bounce had been reached, but McCain could be hitting his or he may not be there yet.

[Zarn]

On election day, I don't think Obama will get 86% of Dems. Maybe 79-83%.

[Zarn]

People do not want a good speaker. They want actual content in the speeches.

[Zarn]

I never said it wouldn't give a short burst.

[Zarn]

Brittain and Lief are examples of those who think Obama has content. They will stick with him.

It won't stick, because many do not believe it is content.

It's why the July bounce dropped quickly.

[Zarn]

Raz likes to poll all the states. I don't see a problem with that.

It's not like he isn't polling Michigan, too.

[Zarn]

Obama has all of his policies up on the website and he talks about them in his speech too.It's not his fault you are too lazy to put in any effort to go to his website or actually listen during his speeches. All Mccain has is his service in Vietnam. Seriously that is all I took away from the RNC. Except for energy they don't want to talk about issues. Hell even his campaign adviser acknowledged they want this race to be about personalities and not issues.

It looks like I got a lot more out of the RNC than you did. Maybe you should follow your own advice.

Partisan hackery plus partisan hackery equals everyone else getting headaches.

[Zarn]

Yeah I also got that only Republicans put their country first. I also got that tax cuts must be given to the rich because obviously only they deserve it. I also got that giving back to your community is faggy and you should rather make lots and lots of money for yourself, so the republicans can reward you with even more money with tax cuts. Oh I also got that apparently parents want a choice for their kid's education. Sorry left that out of the first comment.

Nope, you didn't get it.

[Zarn]

When have I said 'Hope and Change LOLz?'

McCain's message was against both corrupt Dems and Repubs.

[Zarn]

No, but is is higher than it was before, IIRC.

[Zarn]

McCain getting a majority of the vote?

Yay!

If he has over 50 a week from now, that would mean something.

I cannot tell if we are expereincing the remainder of a bounce or if this is the new race.

[Zarn]

McCain getting a majority of the vote?

Yay!

If he has over 50 a week from now, that would mean something.

I cannot tell if we are expereincing the remainder of a bounce or if this is the new race.

Well, he has been hovering near or at the 49% mark, which practically means a majority.

If you remove the non-Dem,-Non Rep voting population.

Don't get me wrong, I do find it to be good news, but I'm still skeptical.

[Zarn]

Yeah, Obama went up, too.

[Zarn]

We'd have to wait for Gallup's new numbers.

[Zarn]

6, 7, 8, points?

[Zarn]

6, 7, 8, points?

According to my chart - Obama 6.19% to 9.18%

so, it went from McCain +5 to Obama >+6 in the span of 24 hours?...time to start ignoring daily numbers, guys

I think this is why they have a three day average.

[Zarn]

6, 7, 8, points?

According to my chart - Obama 6.19% to 9.18%

so, it went from McCain +5 to Obama >+6 in the span of 24 hours?...time to start ignoring daily numbers, guys

I think this is why they have a three day average.

Way out of MoE.

I never really believed in MoE.

[Zarn]

Also, NH is a state that likes to mess with us. It's like the residents switch between saying McCain and Obama with every call just to make us draw a big question mark.

[Zarn]

Okay, so I wasn't crazy in thinking it was -10.

[Zarn]

Yes, but it doesn't matter.

The lead was suppose to shrink, and it grew. Things will start to get really bad for everyone, all because people want to finally defeat Bush. Since they cannot defeat him, they chose to pretend someone else is him. Now, we are going to end up with the left-wing version of George Bush.

[Zarn]

Yes, but it doesn't matter.

The lead was suppose to shrink, and it grew. Things will start to get really bad for everyone, all because people want to finally defeat Bush. Since they cannot defeat him, they chose to pretend someone else is him. Now, we are going to end up with the left-wing version of George Bush.

Left-wing version of Bush?  Are you kidding?  How is Obama in any way, shape, or form like Pres. Bush? 

-The change candidate of 2000: I really believed then that Bush was going to make the United States a much better place.
-A guy that cares about my well being: Unlike Gore who only wanted to spout out liberal garbage. Sounds like Obama, except McCain doesn't actually spout out conservative garbage.
-Obama is much closer to Bush on the bailout
-FISA
-Faith Based Initiatives
-Withdrawal Timetable
-Supports increased spending (or at the very least, Bush did nothing to stop it)
-And the humorous one: Both need to learn how to speak

[Zarn]

I think the American people are frustrated because neither Obama or McCain seem to have a grasp on what Americans care about most...the economy.

Oh, wait a minute!  Wasn't there someone who had more successful executive experience than any other candidates in the primaries?  He turned countless companies from money pits to profit machines, he turned the Olympics from a disaster to a huge success, he also balanced and streamlined a horrible state budget...  Ugh, it's on the tip of my tongue... What was that guy's name?!

Romney is just as corrupt as Obama.

[Zarn]

I actually expect it.

[Zarn]

It's because Obama hit the 50 point mark. Given, it is not a solid 50, but it certainly doesn't look good for the man who would actually do some good.

[Zarn]

Future predictions...

O +14
O +10
M +3
O +16
O +12
M +4

LOL