Democratic Iowa Caucus results thread (entrance poll @8pm ET) (user search)
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  Democratic Iowa Caucus results thread (entrance poll @8pm ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Democratic Iowa Caucus results thread (entrance poll @8pm ET)  (Read 61819 times)
HillOfANight
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« on: February 01, 2016, 08:52:34 PM »

https://twitter.com/daveweigel/status/694337352596979712

In my Iowa City precinct, it's Hillary 287, Bernie 267, O'Malley 17, undecided 20. Better than expected for Hillary. O'Malley out.
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HillOfANight
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Posts: 1,459
« Reply #1 on: February 01, 2016, 09:07:51 PM »

Let's not call this yet. There is a lot of votes left to count. Sanders can pull this off, but I can't stress how important a win in IA is for Clinton. Losing here will send shockwaves through the Democratic Party.

This is more devastating for either, but more for Bernie. This is one of the most liberal/whitest states.
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HillOfANight
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Posts: 1,459
« Reply #2 on: February 01, 2016, 09:14:05 PM »

The gap is, consistenly, around 15 delegates. This is becoming smaller in percentage points, of course, but keeps constant in absolute terms.

https://www.idpcaucuses.com/#/state

I'm looking at this, and don't understand what the percentages/delegates are...

Clinton seems to have more areas (delegates?) even though the percentage (vote???) is similar?
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #3 on: February 01, 2016, 09:34:40 PM »

https://twitter.com/GlennThrush/status/694346524562628608
Glenn Thrush from Politico says both camps expect Clinton to win with 50%+.

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/694347560853438464
This guy says Clinton's lead small but durable because no blowout Bernie areas left.
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HillOfANight
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Posts: 1,459
« Reply #4 on: February 01, 2016, 10:07:28 PM »

https://twitter.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/694352719625060352

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They predicted early John Bel Edwards and Matt Bevin would win.
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HillOfANight
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Posts: 1,459
« Reply #5 on: February 01, 2016, 10:41:13 PM »

https://twitter.com/SteveKornacki/status/694364051283927041

@SteveKornacki
Very rough math: 104 of the 233 outstanding precincts are in counties Sanders is leading. 129 are in Clinton counties.
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HillOfANight
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Posts: 1,459
« Reply #6 on: February 01, 2016, 10:58:39 PM »


https://twitter.com/DKElections/status/694368986037927936

Last batch of precincts very good for Hilalry. Goes from .2 to .4 lead #iacaucus
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #7 on: February 01, 2016, 11:06:49 PM »

http://www.desmoinesregister.com/pages/interactives/elections-results-primaries-2016/#d

What is this? It says Bernie 21 Hillary 20.
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HillOfANight
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Posts: 1,459
« Reply #8 on: February 01, 2016, 11:12:51 PM »

https://www.idpcaucuses.com/#/state

Y'all, Clinton 50.1, Sanders 49.3
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