Question for those of you who think trump will be last gop president ever (user search)
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  Question for those of you who think trump will be last gop president ever (search mode)
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Author Topic: Question for those of you who think trump will be last gop president ever  (Read 4782 times)
junior chįmp
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,394
Croatia
« on: June 11, 2019, 11:16:01 PM »

I've made this point many times before on Atlas (and been accused of trolling) but I legitimately dont believe that the GOP can exist as a majority political party for much longer and they know it. I think the GOP will slowly become relegated to being a borderline third party behind a Democratic party split between it's ''centrist'' faction vs. a socialist faction that will never really agree on anything and squabble over everything.

I forsee a future where there's an uneasy peace in the Democratic party similar to that which existed during the New Deal days between the Southern faction of the Democratic Party and the rest of the party. The GOP will either die off or fuse with the centrist faction while somewhere down the road (perhaps 5-6 decades from now) the party will split in two.
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junior chįmp
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,394
Croatia
« Reply #1 on: June 14, 2019, 12:11:41 AM »

I forsee a future where there's an uneasy peace in the Democratic party similar to that which existed during the New Deal days between the Southern faction of the Democratic Party and the rest of the party. The GOP will either die off or fuse with the centrist faction while somewhere down the road (perhaps 5-6 decades from now) the party will split in two.


Wouldn't the fact that the GOP did, in fact, survive that era tend to provide empirical evidence that your hypothetical won't occur?

Possibly. My reasoning is based on the fact that post-millennial Republicans don't consider themselves all that Conservative. Another example here.

The present day GOP is nothing but a combo of racists, religious zealot/nutcases, and true believers of free market Conservatism that was created by historical circumstances that nobody remembers or cares. But this sort of ideology is mostly relegated and propped up by Boomers and older voters. With their political power rapidly declining...the GOP will probably move toward a Phil Scott/Charlie Baker/Larry Hogan RINO type Republicanism which is basically just a dime store Democratic Party.

Another scenario is that the GOP just goes full white power and forever remains the party of angry white grievance but I dont see how this is possible since younger GOP voters dont share their views.
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junior chįmp
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,394
Croatia
« Reply #2 on: June 14, 2019, 11:25:18 PM »

I forsee a future where there's an uneasy peace in the Democratic party similar to that which existed during the New Deal days between the Southern faction of the Democratic Party and the rest of the party. The GOP will either die off or fuse with the centrist faction while somewhere down the road (perhaps 5-6 decades from now) the party will split in two.


Wouldn't the fact that the GOP did, in fact, survive that era tend to provide empirical evidence that your hypothetical won't occur?

Possibly. My reasoning is based on the fact that post-millennial Republicans don't consider themselves all that Conservative. Another example here.

The present day GOP is nothing but a combo of racists, religious zealot/nutcases, and true believers of free market Conservatism that was created by historical circumstances that nobody remembers or cares. But this sort of ideology is mostly relegated and propped up by Boomers and older voters. With their political power rapidly declining...the GOP will probably move toward a Phil Scott/Charlie Baker/Larry Hogan RINO type Republicanism which is basically just a dime store Democratic Party.

Another scenario is that the GOP just goes full white power and forever remains the party of angry white grievance but I dont see how this is possible since younger GOP voters dont share their views.

Yeah, this would only happen if those young GOP voters just make their own party to oppose the Dems


One of the reasons the GOP is so extreme today is because they know that demographically they are finished. They will never get minorities to vote for them so they are going all scorched earth against the increasingly diverse electorate whom they don't view as being legitimate because they aren't white/or wont vote for them.

I don't see any future scenario where the GOP remains a relevant political party. Either they go full Trumpism and become a shrinking third party or become dime store Democrats by moderating a la Baker/Hogan/Scott-type ''Republicanism.''
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