Citizen James
James42
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,540
Political Matrix
E: -3.87, S: -2.78
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« on: April 02, 2005, 02:09:49 PM » |
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Back to the point at hand...
I see them as moving more in the direction of an olgiarchy than a democracy right now. One of the keys to a successful democracy is a solid educational system - once people are better suited to thinking for themselves, it's hard to put the Genie back in the bottle.
Right now, only the elites are well educated. And the regime showed that they were quite willing to brutally and publicly kill dissenters at the tien a mein massacre. I suppose there might be some survivors or sympatisers who are biding their time - and they are probably China's best hope for a sort of Gorbachev style peristroka which would move toward democracy.
Otherwise, the alternatives are that someone institutes widespread education (not all that needed if they can profit from low-skilled labor), or they eventually colapse under a combination of overpopulation and the widespread inefficency and corruption that accompanies the totalitarian regime. And that would be very, very, ugly.
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