Mexico 2006

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

yes! Go PRD!

What exactly is the PRI's platform anyway? PAN is the conservative party, PRD is the leftist one, so what is the PRI and why did no one decide to vote them out until a couple years ago.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Where do you live by the way? You seem to have a lot of insight about the whole world, but know quite a lot of the specifics about Mexico.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

What type of person votes PRI? It seems like an odd party to get so many votes in a truly free election. What's the demographic and mindset of your average PRI voter?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Much as I want Obrador to win, if he does with 35% it'd be quite a cloud over him. Mexico needs to add a run off. How would a straight Obrador vs. Calderon race go?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

And here I am thinking Obrador and the PRD are like Howard Dean and the liberals! Its not a simple left/right divide like we have up here.

I'm glad to hear that PAN is more moderate than I assumed.

You're a bit too used to American politics then, heh.

While Obrador is somewhat similar to Dean is his campaigning style, as ag has explained before, the PRD is not some type of MoveOn insurgent party. Rather the PRD is effectively what the PRI was like for the first years of its existance, under Mexico's two party system, with PRI on the left and PAN on the right. Of course the PRI's massive political machine and grib on the country meant it won pretty much every election. The PRI moved toward more free market policies in the 70s, and then the PRD split off them as a result. The PRD aren't new Howard Dean types but rather mostly the old guard trying to get back into power. I still support them of course.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

TradeSports prices:

Obrador 58.2
Madrazo 4.2
Calderon 37.0

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Election's tommorow.

How well would Fox had done if he was able to run for releection. Would he do better or wose than Calderon?

Madrazo's at 7 now btw.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Calderon has taken the lead on TradeSports, his last transaction was at 58.0.  Obrador at 46.5, Madrazo at 5... take it for what its worth.

Probably due to people who aren't sure enough of an Obrador win and bought stock earlier and figure now's the time to sell. TradeSports prices can be misleading, since to win you don't need to bet on the right choice, just have that choice go for a higher price later than what you bought it for.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

That confirms my suspicion that the upswing for Madrazo wasn't people expecting him to win but figured he'd rise, allowing them to sell their shares at a higher price. They're all selling now.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

The Obrador folks are just trying to cash in. Too many did and his stock is becoming worthless as a result.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Calderon's lead in absolute votes is now shrinking. He's down to less than 400k.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Don't forget Germany.

Obrador tanked on TradeSports but he's crawling up again and Calderon is losing his surge. Anyone on TS would be wise to purchase Obrador stock now. He's gained 6 points in the last couple minutes.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

TS has closed, with Obrador at 20 and Calderon at 73.5.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Well whoever wins will have less than 40%. Like I said, Mexico needs to add a run off.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

The current President is PAN, so don't expect any serious changes in policy under a new PAN admin.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

There have been reports of ballots being found in the trash in heavily PRD areas.

http://www.eluniversal.com.mx/notas/360330.html
http://narconews.com/Issue42/article1962.html