Likely Voter
Moderators
Junior Chimp
Posts: 8,344
|
 |
« on: October 29, 2012, 12:38:53 PM » |
|
One of the issues with LV models is they dont account for the effect of GOTV efforts. Essentially they say. If everyone had to vote, Obama wins, if everyone was left to their own devices then Romney wins (because a lot of Obama voters will stay at home). But if one team has a better GOTV effort, then that can make a difference one way or the other. Going into 2004 Bush's LV avg was around +1. In the end Bush's FL GOTV got him +5.
|
