Experiment regarding Chinese population shifts over time
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  Experiment regarding Chinese population shifts over time
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Author Topic: Experiment regarding Chinese population shifts over time  (Read 755 times)
President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« on: June 02, 2021, 02:11:53 AM »
« edited: June 02, 2021, 02:15:52 AM by Southern Deputy Speaker Punxsutawney Phil »

So I inputted the 2020 census results for Chinese province populations in a Huntington-Hill calculator and assumed the same number of seats as the US House, using the same methods used to calculate apportionment for the US House. I then did the same thing except for other province-level Chinese census figures in past years. I got these results:
Province, 2020 appt, 2010 appt, 2000 appt, 1990 appt, 1982 appt, 1964 appt
Anhui 19, 19, 21, 22, 22, 19
Beijing 7, 6, 5, 4, 4, 5
Chongqing 10, 9, 11, X, X, X
Fujian 13, 12, 12, 12, 11, 10
Gansu 8, 8, 9, 9, 9, 8
Guangdong 39, 34, 30, 24, 23**, 27***
Guangxi 15, 15, 15, 16, 16, 13
Guizhou 12, 11, 12, 12, 12, 11
Hainan 3, 3, 3, 3, 3**, X
Hebei 23, 24, 23, 23, 23, 28
Heliongjang 10, 13, 13, 14, 14, 12
Henan 31, 31, 32, 33, 32, 31
Hubei 18, 19, 21, 21, 21, 21
Hunan 20, 21, 22, 23, 23, 23
Inner Mongolia 7, 8, 8, 8, 8, 8
Jiangsu 26, 26, 26, 26, 26, 28
Jiangxi 14, 15, 14, 15, 14, 13
Jilin 7, 9, 9, 9, 10, 10
Liaoning 13, 14, 15, 15, 15, 17
Ningxia 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 1
Qinghai 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 1
Shaanxi 12, 12, 12, 13, 13, 13
Shandong 31, 31, 31, 32, 32, 34
Shanghai 8, 8, 6, 5, 5, 7
Shanxi 11, 12, 11, 11, 11, 11
Sinchuan 26, 26, 29, 41*, 43*, 42*
Tianjin 4, 4, 3, 3, 3, 5
Tibet 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1
Xinjiang 8, 7, 6, 6, 6, 5
Yunnan 15, 15, 15, 14, 14, 13
Zhejiang 20, 18, 16, 16, 17, 18
Total 435
X=n/a, and/or inapplicable
*=including what would become Chongqing
**=Hainan was counted as a distinct category from the rest of Guangdong in 1982
***=including Hainan
I omitted Hong Kong and Macau for mainly consistency reasons.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #1 on: June 02, 2021, 02:37:16 AM »

This is the same thing done except for 1953 Chinese census results. This was listed separately because the provinces as they were in 1953 and as they were later were markedly different in some regions of the country.
1953
Anhui 22
Beijing 2
Fujian 10
Gansu 9
Guangdong 24
Guangxi 15
Guizhou 11
Hebei 27
Heliongjang 9
Henan 33
Hubei 21
Hunan 25
Inner Mongolia 5
Jehe 4
Jiangsu 30
Jiangxi 12
Jilin 8
Liaoning 14
Ningxia 2
Qamdo 1
Qinghai 1
Shaanxi 12
Shandong 36
Shanghai 5
Shanxi 11
Sinchuan 46
Tianjin 2
Tibet 1
Xikang 3
Xinjiang 4
Yunnan 13
Zhejiang 17
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Joseph Cao
Rep. Joseph Cao
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« Reply #2 on: June 05, 2021, 11:02:22 PM »

I omitted Hong Kong and Macau for mainly consistency reasons.

Freedom Decision IMHO.

Great thread!
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