Could the next Labor majority exceed 1997? (user search)
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  Could the next Labor majority exceed 1997? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Could the next Labor majority exceed 1997?  (Read 4008 times)
Samof94
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« on: March 04, 2023, 07:24:48 AM »

Even if you put aside the methodological issues, Sunak isn't the 'safe pair of hands' that Callaghan, Major and Brown all were to much of the electorate - their respective doomed governments clawed back support once an election was on the horizon.

Still didn't save any of them.
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Samof94
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Posts: 4,352
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« Reply #1 on: March 09, 2023, 07:11:03 AM »

Even if you put aside the methodological issues, Sunak isn't the 'safe pair of hands' that Callaghan, Major and Brown all were to much of the electorate - their respective doomed governments clawed back support once an election was on the horizon.

Still didn't save any of them.

What *did* "save" them from greater annihilation, though, was that they already had so much vestigially bombproof incumbency in place which, thanks to localism and often for lack of a galvanized and "trustworthy" alternative, wound up holding on, even if by greatly reduced shares and margins.  And even on the losing end, the same can be said about Michael Foot's Labour in '83--and particularly how they did, seatwise, vs the Lib/SDP Alliance.  (It also explains why, in France, the Macronistas fell short of the mega-mega-sweep many were anticipating in the second round of legislative voting in 2017.)
Given this is Britain we are talking about. How does Brexit's economics play into this??
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