IBD/TIPP: Biden +3

[Alben Barkley]

Terrible for Biden.

You probably thought the +13 poll was terrible for Biden too.

They’re called “outliers.” If Biden is actually up by 8, as he roughly is in the averages, both of these polls would be on the extreme ends of his range within the margin of error.

But you know, that’s math and logic, clearly not the strong suit of doomers.

[Alben Barkley]

After the debate, 19% of registered voters who watched said they switched their vote...

No.

LOL

No chance 20% of voters changed their vote over the debate, let alone in Trump’s favor when every other poll saw him as losing and less favorable.

[Alben Barkley]

There still may be justice for the way the Democrats treated Trump. This will be their reward for their bogus Russian collusion charge and investigation and a bogus impeachment.  They will reap what they sowed.

Oh this is good.

Saving this one for the next double digit Biden national lead/any lead in a red state poll.

[Alben Barkley]

Going in to Election Day, this race will be too close to call.   Biden 3-4 point lead at best.

You people are so damn predictable. Every time there’s any kind of poll like this, you come out with these bold, wild “predictions” based on it, then are nowhere to be found for the subsequent onslaught of Biden +7-13 polls, then rear your heads again when another low end outlier comes out.

It’s like clockwork.

[Alben Barkley]

Biden+3

Biden+13

Average it out to Biden+8

Imagine that... Biden leading by 8.

Well there’s actually been 4 national polls post-debate now.

Biden +3
Biden +9
Biden +10
Biden +13

Pretty obvious what the outlier is, and when you average them all out, Biden still leads by about 9.

Plus IBD has been more favorable to Trump relative to other polls in this cycle, and to the actual results in 2016. So...